Recent Trends
The recent trends in private equity transactions and M&A deals more generally in France in 2024 are outlined below.
An upturn in deal value
After a significant downturn in 2023, the M&A market in France reached USD82 billion in the first half of 2024, representing a 26% increase compared to the value recorded during the same period last year.
An increase in domestic and inbound deals
In the first quarter of 2024, French domestic transactions increased by 24% compared to the value recorded during the same period last year, reaching USD10.9 billion, while inbound transactions more than doubled, reaching USD6.5 billion. Consequently, with USD17.4 billion in transactions involving a French target, France becomes the seventh most targeted country in the world in 2024.
A maintained increase in outbound deals
French companies continued their trend to acquire businesses abroad. Outbound deals have seen the largest increase this year, rising by 114% compared to the first quarter of 2023 and reaching USD18.9 billion, the highest level recorded since 2018. This trend is being driven by the search for growth opportunities and the desire to gain access to new markets.
A focus on strategic sectors
Private equity firms and strategic acquirers are increasingly focused on investing in strategic sectors, such as healthcare, technology, and consumer goods. These sectors are seen as being more resilient to economic downturns and offer the potential for long-term growth.
2024 Outlook
Overall, the outlook for private equity transactions and M&A deals in France in 2024 is optimistic considering the latest figures. The focus on strategic sectors is also encouraging, as it suggests that investors are looking for businesses with long-term growth potential. Nevertheless, several factors should be considered to adopt a more cautious approach, including the persistence of high interest rates and the potential impact of political uncertainty stemming from France’s recent snap election on investor sentiment.
French companies are entering the M&A market with the aim of reorganising their asset portfolios and positioning themselves for economic recovery and profound change in the industrial environment.
The transactions that are currently supporting the M&A market consist of companies acquiring differentiating assets, providing short-term competitiveness and transforming their business model in depth.
These are complementary investments consisting of the acquisition of specific abilities. French companies want to focus on strengthening their digital and technological capabilities, in the context of increasing digitalisation of the business.
Innovative start-ups, offering buyers new technologies, are interesting cross-sector targets. Indeed, they enable companies to broaden their product or service offerings, to increase their production capacity and strengthen their resilience. They are now, therefore, first-choice targets.
This means that digital and technological assets have enabled valuation growth for the companies that own them.
One of the major changes that the regulations governing M&A transactions have undergone over the last four years concerns the control of foreign investments in France. Indeed, an investment made by a foreign natural or legal person may, if it meets certain criteria of sector and ownership of the target, be subject to prior authorisation by the Minister of the Economy and Finance.
Several protectionist measures have broadened the scope of application of this control mechanism. Thus, a decree and an order dated 31 December 2019 supplementing the PACTE law have strengthened this control mechanism.
This control is also reinforced at the European level with the adoption in March 2019 of the regulation on the screening of foreign investments.
Extension of Investment’s Control
The sectors that are subject to such control have continued to grow and mainly concern so-called sensitive activities. The decree gives concrete expression to this notion by specifying the following sectors: aerospace and data hosting, the press, food safety, quantum technologies, energy storage, biotechnologies, etc.
A decree and an order dated 28 December 2023 once again strengthen the control system as it is extended to takeovers of French branches of foreign entities and the list of sensitive activities is updated to notably include the processing and extraction of critical raw materials.
Similarly, the thresholds for triggering the control system have been lowered to 10% for publicly traded companies, initially introduced as a temporary measure, are now permanent.
Taking This Control into Account in M&A Transactions
As the decree dated 31 December 2019 introduced the concept of “chain of control”, the presence of a foreign investor is sufficient to trigger control even if the direct investor is actually a French-owned entity.
This is an important consideration for all transactions in which a foreign entity is present, which is peculiar to transactions in which investment funds intervene.
The role of legal due diligence has now increased and this investment control must be integrated into the negotiation process between the different actors of the transaction.
In France, the French Anti-Corruption Agency (Agence Française Anticorruption or AFA) has been regulating the practice of M&A transactions to fight corruption since the law of 9 December 2016. The agency publishes annual guidance to good conduct but no large-scale change in French law can yet be observed in this matter.
Regarding ESG compliance issues, France is in line with the global, including European, line following the resolution adopted by the European parliament in March 2021 promising legislation for due diligence in ESG matters. It is also a question of underlining the role that audit committees must play in monitoring the attention investors pay to ESG standards and to the risk of non-compliance with these issues. Many funds are now specialised in socially responsible investments and are still growing, as players in the French financial community become more aware of issues regarding these non-financial criteria.
Private equity transactions may also undergo review by the following regulatory authorities:
French Competition Authority (FCA)
Transactions outside the retail industry and meeting the following three conditions are subject to a merger control procedure by the French Competition Authority:
If the aforementioned conditions are met, the intended transaction must be notified to the FCA, which will conduct a prospective analysis of the deal’s impact on competition. Following such review, the FCA can approve (with or without conditions) or block the transaction.
On 26 March 2021, the European Commission published guidance on the circumstances under which it would accept requests from national competition authorities within the EU to investigate mergers that do not meet EU or even national jurisdictional tests (in particular, in order to prevent so-called killer acquisitions). The effect of such guidance is likely to generate, in the near future, a notification process – even in the absence of sufficient turnover to meet mandatory filing requirements.
Minister of the Economy and Finance
If the private equity fund is incorporated in a foreign jurisdiction and therefore qualifies as a foreign investor, the transaction may be subject to prior approval by the French Minister of the Economy and Finance.
The minister’s compulsory authorisation is required if:
Completion of the intended transaction can be either approved (with or without conditions) or rejected by the Minister of the Economy and Finance.
The scope and depth of due diligence reviews are determined on a case-by-case basis and therefore vary from deal to deal. In particular, the level of legal due diligence depends on factors such as the scale of the intended transaction, the kind of business run by the target company, the estimated risk level, etc.
In order to identify the potential negative impacts of the transaction on the target’s business, buyers are advised to perform due diligence investigations covering as many areas as possible (these may, for instance, include corporate documentation, financial statements, commercial contracts, ongoing litigation, taxation, insurance, etc).
During the due diligence process, confidential documents are usually exchanged through a virtual data room and the parties involved are often required to sign confidentiality agreements.
Vendor due diligence is typically used in the context of a competitive auction process, in order to simplify and accelerate the transaction. More specifically, bidders may rely on the vendor due diligence report when drafting their initial offers.
In general, vendor due diligence reports are deemed to be reliable, because they are elaborated by an independent third party and not by the seller itself. However, arranging further buy-side due diligence in order to confirm the results presented in the sell-side due diligence report is always good practice and is quite customary.
In France, most acquisitions by private equity funds are negotiated confidentially. If the negotiations between the seller and the buyer succeed, both parties may then enter into a share sale and purchase agreement (SPA), which is the most typical acquisition scheme in France.
The terms of the SPA may vary slightly, depending on whether the target is sold by means of an auction process or through one-on-one negotiations. In the first case, one can expect the SPA to be more seller-friendly, since in a competitive process, the seller has greater negotiation power.
Private equity funds often invest through a special-purpose vehicle (SPV), which is an entity created for the purpose of carrying out a specific transaction.
Most SPVs are incorporated as a simplified joint-stock company (société par actions simplifiée or SAS). This corporate form is preferred by private equity investors for various reasons:
In general, the acquisition documentation is signed by the SPV (which is a subsidiary of the private equity fund), rather than by the private equity fund itself.
Private equity deals are financed either with cash, debt or a combination of both. The large majority of deals negotiated during the first half of 2022 were at least partly financed with debt.
The structure of the debt can be particularly complex, although its purpose is almost always to finance the acquisition and refinance existing debt. In general, it may consist of:
To contractually ensure the existence of funds from a privately funded buyer, an equity commitment letter is often used.
Private equity investors usually take both minority and majority positions. However, there has been a real increase in transactions in which investment funds take minority positions. These transactions are no longer the exclusive privilege of small companies, but also concern large medium-sized companies. Similarly, some large investment funds are more willing to take minority positions in order to gain access to more satisfying opportunities, in the context of a managers’ buyout or the acquisition of a minority stake in a family business.
With the development of public investment funds, such as the European Investment Bank at the European level or the Public Investment Bank at the French level, it is essential to note that co-investment strategies are increasingly common.
The implementation of such strategies can be explained by the desire not to neglect any growth potential. For example, co-investment is often used to invest in start-ups or in developing companies. These co-investment strategies are implemented in particular with venture capital funds, in the context of projects that target innovation-oriented companies in the science, information and communication technology, infrastructure and renewable energy sectors.
Family offices often invest alongside private equity or venture capital firms on smaller deals, as some of the family members of such family offices are also sometimes limited partners of the private equity fund.
Locked-box and completion accounts are by far the most common forms of consideration structure in France.
The earn-out clause is also quite popular in the French jurisdiction. Although this clause is inserted in a minority of all private equity transactions, this clause appears in a good proportion of deals overall.
It goes without saying that the COVID-19 crisis has accelerated the resurgence of the earn-out and completion accounts mechanisms, as buyers wish to share the risks related to their acquisition with the sellers.
Regarding the earn-out clause, the COVID-19 crisis is not the only explanation for its progression: the sellers may also see it as an opportunity to reap the benefits of developments or support that will continue after the deal.
Nonetheless, it is evident that the earn-out clause is more prevalent in transactions under EUR100 million. Above these amounts, the parties involved tend to prefer a price that is definitively fixed at the time of closing (usually, by using a locked-box mechanism) without any subsequent contingencies.
When a locked-box mechanism is used, there is typically no interest on the leakage and the adjustment is made on a euro basis.
Both the locked-box mechanism and the completion accounts mechanism can lead to an adjustment of the purchase price post-closing, in the event of leakage (in the first case) or if the target’s assets and liabilities have changed (in the second case). But litigations are far more common with the use of the completion accounts mechanism.
In the event of persistent disagreement between the buyer and the seller concerning the purchase price adjustment, it is standard practice to include an expert determination clause in the share purchase agreement, as a resolution mechanism. Pursuant to this, either the buyer or the seller may request the commercial courts to appoint an independent expert.
Following the expert’s appointment by the judge, the expert will determine the amount of the price adjustment, which will be binding on both parties (except where a serious error has been committed).
Conditions Precedent Commonly Used
Most private equity deals are conditional upon the fulfilment or waiver of certain conditions precedent.
Such conditions precedent generally include:
It should be noted that although the use of MAC clauses has increased due to the COVID-19 pandemic, they are not a predominant feature in French private equity deals.
“Hamon” Law
In addition, the so-called Hamon law has imposed several other conditions that must be met before the takeover of any company employing employees can be carried out.
Indeed, the company’s employees have to be informed before the transaction is carried out so that they are able to make an offer to the seller prior to the third party making an offer.
Similarly, the target’s working council has to be consulted sufficiently in advance of the transaction.
In so far as this information and consultation must be carried out before the sale takes place, it is not strictly speaking a condition precedent. The most commonly used formula is the signing of a put option, allowing the seller to exercise the option once the information/consultation obligations have been fulfilled.
This type of clause concerns, in principle, transactions of considerable size. The acceptance by the purchaser of such a clause clearly depends on the negotiating power of each party, but especially on the applicable regulatory provision concerned.
When the regulatory provision relates to competition law, and particularly to antitrust provisions, this clause is difficult to accept for the purchaser. Agreeing to it is dangerous as the remedies can be harsh and costly.
On the other hand, in the case of a provision pursuant to foreign investments in France, the negotiation of this type of clause seems to be easier. Indeed, prohibitions are very rare and remedies are easier to implement in this context. “Hell or high water” clauses are therefore less difficult to take on in this context.
In any case, this is a matter of bargaining power and the specific situation of the purchaser. If it is a private equity firm with no competing companies in the portfolio nor in the context of a build-up, a “hell or high water” clause is more likely to be accepted.
Although not specifically prohibited by French law, break fees in favour of the buyer or the seller are not commonly used in France.
If stipulated, break fees will become due if either party decides to terminate a pending deal for a reason not attributable to the other party.
That being said, it is important to bear in mind that there are no punitive or exemplary damages under French law. Therefore, if the amount of the break fees exceeds the value of the damage actually suffered by the claimant party, the amount of such termination fees can be reduced by a court decision.
Acquisition agreements in France usually contain a right to terminate the transaction if the conditions precedent are not fulfilled or are waived before the contractually agreed long-stop date. Moreover, if a MAC clause is set forth in the acquisition agreement, the buyer is entitled to cancel the deal if the target’s business and operations suffer a material adverse change during the interim period (ie, between signing and closing). The duration of the long-stop date depends on the nature and number of condition precedents involved but is usually between three and six months.
The allocation of risk generally depends on the negotiation leverage of the parties involved in the transaction and therefore may vary from deal to deal.
From a legal standpoint, the risk related to the acquired target company is supported by the purchaser unless provided otherwise in the sale and purchase agreement.
Usually, the sale and purchase agreement provides a representations and warranties mechanism pursuant to which the seller can indemnify the purchaser if the target suffers a liability as a result of events prior to closing.
There is usually a limitation on the amount of the liability of the seller, such as:
In private equity deals, more risks are taken by the purchaser since the representations and warranties are usually more limited (and sometimes there are almost none, except for the fundamental ones, eg, capacity, titles to share, etc).
When selling off their stakes, private equity funds are generally reluctant to make representations and guarantees other than warranties of title and capacity.
In contrast, the representations and warranties given by the management team usually cover a broad range of topics. Such warranties may, for instance, include:
As mentioned in 6.8 Allocation of Risk, representations and warranties are usually limited by a cap, a franchise/threshold, and a de minimis.
The liability of the seller can also be limited by the duration of the warranties, which is usually from 12 to 36 months.
Finally, it is worth noting that full disclosure of the data room is typically allowed against the warranties in open bid.
The other protections included in acquisition documentation mainly consist of an escrow agreement set between 25% and 50% of the cap.
The purchaser also often asks the seller to find a guarantor who may have to commit personal funds.
Also, in the biggest deals, the stakeholders may contract representation and warranty insurance.
In the French jurisdiction, the provisions that are most likely to lead to a dispute relating to private equity transactions are those that provide for completion accounts and earn-out mechanisms. They are a breeding ground for litigation, despite their good drafting. Nevertheless, and despite the adjustment discussed above, the private equity market remains a pro-seller market and locked-box mechanisms are becoming more common.
Similarly, warranties indemnification may give rise to litigation when implemented.
Public-to-private deals are uncommon in France.
In France, shareholders acting either alone or in concert with others are required to disclose their stakes in publicly traded companies when exceeding or falling below one of the following thresholds (whether in capital or voting rights): 5%, 10%, 15%, 20%, 25%, 30%; 33.33%, 50%, 75%, 90% and 95%.
The French Commercial Code also requires the shareholder, when crossing certain thresholds of shareholding (10%, 15%, 20% and 25% of the capital and voting rights) in a publicly listed company, to declare the objectives they plan to pursue during the next six months.
If one of the aforesaid thresholds has been reached, the relevant investor must file a report with the French Financial Markets Authority (Autorité des Marchés Financiers or AMF) – with a copy to the issuer – within four trading days.
Failure to comply with this disclosure requirement may lead to a suspension of the voting rights attached to the shares exceeding the threshold that should have been disclosed, for a period of up to two years.
Under French law, there are two situations in which the obligation to make a mandatory offer for 100% of the shares of a publicly listed company can arise:
In either case, the mandatory offer price must be at least equal to the highest price paid by the bidder for securities of the target during the 12 months preceding the obligation to file such mandatory offer.
It should be noted that exemptions and dispensations from the obligation to file a mandatory offer may be granted by the AMF in certain limited circumstances, including the following:
If the required mandatory offer is not filed, voting rights exceeding the 30% threshold will be suspended.
In France, cash (rather than stock) is by far the most common consideration for financing an M&A transaction. Indeed, offering cash instead of shares enables the buyer to avoid dilution of its own shareholders. Thus, controlling stakes at the level of the buying company remain unchanged.
Takeover bids may be subject to certain conditions precedent. In general, the conditions precedent accepted by the AMF are the following:
However, conditions precedent relating to the obtainment of financing by the bidder are not accepted.
Squeeze-Out Mechanisms
A squeeze-out procedure can be launched every time a given shareholder, acting alone or in concert with others, reaches no less than 90% of the target’s voting rights.
If the 90% threshold is reached following the closing of a tender offer, the squeeze-out procedure can be implemented immediately, provided that the offer prospectus expressly mentions the bidder’s intention to proceed with a squeeze-out.
Commitments to tender shares from actual shareholders depend on the way the takeover is structured. Takeovers involving the participation of the shareholders of the target (and especially friendly takeovers) are usually structured in two different ways:
The choice is important in the bidding process, and is made on a case-by-case basis.
In the case of a simple sale of a significant block, the risk of a competing bid by another candidate will be reduced or even eliminated if the bidder has acquired the majority of the capital.
On the other hand, the purchaser will have to obtain any necessary antitrust clearances prior to the acquisition of the block which may delay the public offer process.
Moreover, in the case of a minority block acquisition, the acquirer will run the risk of holding a non-controlling interest if few shares are tendered to the public offer. In the event of an acquisition giving the shareholder a stake of more than 30% of the capital or voting rights, the bidder will be in a mandatory public offer situation, with price control by the AMF.
In the case of a commitment to tender, the bidder only acquires ownership of the reference shareholders’ shares at the time of settlement of the takeover bid. Thus, the bidder acquires these shares at the same time as the shares tendered by the other shareholders. If the bidder does not reach the 50% condition threshold set by French law or the condition threshold freely set by the bidder, the bidder will not acquire any shares and will not find itself a minority shareholder of the target.
On the other hand, the AMF requires that the undertakings to tender be revocable in the event of a competing bid. Thus, the bidder must accept the risk that the shareholders who have given the commitment to tender may sell their shares to a competitor in the event of a better bid.
Private equity funds often give key managers the opportunity to take part in a transaction by investing alongside them in the target.
To this end, an SPV gathering all key managers (“ManCo”) is often created. The stake of ManCo in the target company usually ranges from 5% to 15%, depending on the characteristics of the deal. In an MBO (management buyout) situation, the management obviously has the majority of the capital.
The indirect participation of managers in the target is generally preferred over direct participation, mainly because the former scheme is more practical in terms of corporate governance.
In general, management participation in private equity transactions is structured through a management package, which may take the form of ordinary shares, sweet equity and/or fixed-rate instruments.
The idea is to align the interests of the management with those of private equity investors. To this end, managing shareholders benefit from higher returns on their investment.
Tax Implications
In practice, incentive schemes may vary according to tax considerations. For instance, in order to avoid tax liability, managers should acquire their shares or equity-linked instruments (warrant, preferred shares, etc) at a purchase price equal to the shares’ fair market value. Nevertheless, France’s highest administrative court issued three decisions on 13 July 2021 (confirmed on 17 November 2021) that changed this approach since even if the shares or equity-linked instruments have been acquired at fair market value, the capital gain in relation to such shares/instruments can be qualified as salaries and wages if it can be proven that the benefit of those shares/instruments is essentially linked to the status of the employee or officer of the beneficiary.
Consequently, in the case of requalification from the tax administration, the capital gain realised on the sale of these shares/instruments would be taxed in the category of salaries and wages (progressive tax up to 45% instead of a flat tax of 30% on the capital gain).
These decisions have been and will be commented on, and the consequences of these decisions are still being analysed by tax specialists, but all the commentators agree that these decisions are creating legal and tax insecurity on incentive schemes.
In private equity transactions involving management participation, good and bad leaver provisions are usually set out in the shareholders’ agreement.
In general, a manager is deemed to be a “good leaver” if they leave the company for one of the following reasons:
In this case their shares will be transferred back to the portfolio company or the private equity investors, as the case may be, at fair market value.
On the contrary, if the relevant manager is deemed a “bad leaver”, their shares will be transferred at a price lower than the fair market value. In general, a manager is considered a “bad leaver” if they leave the company:
In both cases, managers are required to sell their shares back to the company or the private equity investors. To this end, each manager must grant a call option to the private equity fund.
Following the case law of 13 July 2021 (see 8.2 Management Participation), market practice tends to abandon the distinction between good and bad leavers and the correlative discount in order to minimise the link between the employment agreement and the investment (and minimise the risk of reclassification of the capital gain as salaries and wages).
Manager shareholders often play a dual role, as they are both shareholders and employees or service providers of the portfolio company. Given this situation, manager shareholders are subject to certain obligations deriving directly from their status. Such obligations usually include non-solicitation, non-competition and confidentiality obligations, which are set out in both the shareholders’ agreement and the employment contract (or service agreement) signed by the relevant manager.
Under French law, the non-competition undertaking must be proportionate to the legitimate interests involved. To this end, these commitments are limited in time and space and to strictly defined activities. Moreover, if the manager who undertakes such a commitment is an employee, the non-competition undertaking must be stipulated in the employment contract and must be remunerated.
In the case of a majority LBO, the manager shareholders of a company do not have specific rights that would allow them to influence certain decisions that would commit the company or the structure of the company itself. Nor, for the majority of deals, do they have specific rights to influence the capital ownership or the exit of the investor. Indeed, the main purpose of managers taking a stake in a company is to give employees an interest in the company’s results.
Moreover, certain important decisions need to be approved by the investors.
As an exception to the above, however, some managers may be offered certain rights as a party to an investment agreement. The content of these rights depends mainly on the negotiating capacity and the final weight that the management team is expected to carry in the company following the investment. This can go as far as veto rights on certain issues involving the company, anti-dilution protection or influence on the exit of the private equity fund.
Corporate Governance
In order to monitor the performance of a portfolio company, private equity investors usually negotiate the following corporate governance arrangements, which are generally set out in the shareholders’ agreement:
Nomination of supervisory committee members
Most private equity investors are granted the right to appoint a certain number of members of the supervisory committee. Such members represent the interests of the private equity fund at the level of the committee, the main role of which is to monitor business performance and vote in strategic decisions.
Veto rights on strategic decisions
Besides the right to appoint members of the supervisory committee, private equity investors are usually granted veto rights over extraordinary management decisions affecting the organisation, structure or performance of the portfolio company, which may include:
The list of strategic decisions is usually set out in the shareholders’ agreement and is sometimes reiterated in the company’s by-laws.
Information and audit rights
Information and audit rights are also commonly requested by private equity investors. Consequently, the management of the portfolio company has a reporting obligation towards investors and must provide financial reports to the private equity fund every month or at the end of every quarter.
Furthermore, as part of their audit rights, private equity investors are entitled to conduct on-site investigations and can therefore audit the company’s books and records, either alone or assisted by legal advisers.
In general, private equity investors do not wish to interfere with the daily management of the portfolio company, in order to limit their liability in this regard. Hence, private equity investors prefer to perform a supervisory role.
However, under certain conditions, private equity funds, in their capacity as shareholders, may be held liable in the context of their activity, and the principle of limited liability may be put aside.
Thus, when shareholders are found to have committed a personal error that cannot be linked to the management of the company and which has caused damage to others, it is established case law that the personal liability of the shareholder will be engaged.
Above all, shareholders will be personally liable if they are qualified as de facto managers. Thus, when a shareholder interferes in the management of the partnership in a manner that leads to a loss for the company, this interference will engage the personal liability of the shareholder.
This is why counsels of private equity funds have to draft the shareholders’ agreement so carefully. Indeed, the rights that are granted to the fund have to remain information, reporting or veto rights on strategic issues. If the rights granted to the fund go further and grant it decision-making power, the fund may be held liable as a de facto manager.
Most private equity funds expect to sell their investment and therefore exit the target company four to seven years after the deal’s completion date, since the senior debt is granted for such a duration.
In the French jurisdiction, the most common forms of private equity exit include secondary buyouts, IPOs and trade sales. In numerous cases, the exit of the LBO can intervene by merging the holding company and the operating company before the launch of the IPO.
The so-called drag-along clause is often used in private equity transactions. It is possibly even one of the most fundamental clauses.
Sometimes, the drag right is in the hands of the sole majority shareholder. Sometimes the threshold varies if there are several majority shareholders. It mainly depends on the negotiating power of each majority shareholder.
The so-called tag-along clause is also frequently included in private equity transactions. It can be drafted in two different ways:
This clause can typically be applied to institutional investors or to managers.
The lock-up agreement is a period during which the shareholders of a company undertake to hold the company’s shares for a given period following an IPO. This period is usually quite short and rarely exceeds nine months, although some clauses make the lock-up last for a year.
IPOs are typically subject to a lock-up arrangement of 180 calendar days.
This commitment is often made to reassure investors.
Shareholders’ agreements can also be concluded after the IPO, in particular, for the management or to give a priority right in the event of a share transfer.
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ihebbat@valther.com www.valther.comGeneral Overview
France, historically the second largest private equity (PE) market in Europe after the UK, has not been spared from the challenges faced by the global and European PE markets over the recent past period. French PE transactions’ aggregated value fell by almost 15% in 2023 compared to 2022, due in particular to increased interest rates and a widening gap between sellers’ and purchasers’ expectations in terms of targets’ valuation. In H1 2024, the French PE activity continued to shrink, with a circa 24% drop in aggregated value compared to H1 2023.
That being said, Q2 2024 was the second strongest quarter since Q4 2022 in terms of PE transactions’ value in France, allowing room to be cautiously optimistic for the rest of the year. In particular, even if France’s PE actors currently face additional specific challenges resulting from the country’s recent political upheaval and limited economic growth, the ECB interest rate easement (after five years of consistent increase) should support the private equity activity in the coming months.
It is also to be noted that the PE sector in France remains particularly robust: France boasts a large number of leading international and domestic private equity firms, a balanced fundraising environment and French private equity investments have annually outperformed all other main investment classes (CAC40, real estate, hedge funds) over a ten-year spread.
Macroeconomic and Political Uncertainty Affecting the PE Market
In H1 2024, total deal value dipped to EUR27.6 billion, compared to EUR36.3 billion in H1 2023. In addition to lingering misalignment between buyers and sellers regarding asset valuations, interest rates remain high compared to previous years and political uncertainty, slowing growth and high public deficit are contributing to lower deal activity.
Political upheaval
There were immediate ramifications following the European Parliament elections and the snap election called by French President Emanuel Macron in June 2024. Business leaders and investors expressed unease about inexperienced policymakers and the potential rollback of pro-business/pro-investment reforms. These concerns triggered some instability in the European stock markets and the postponement or cancellation of transactions across Europe. For example, the Italian luxury sportswear brand Golden Goose (backed by Permira) postponed its Milan IPO exit due to market deterioration arising from political uncertainty in Europe and, specifically, France.
The political uncertainty and deadlock resulting from the current absence of a new government following the parliament dissolution coupled with the unprecedented composition – and lack of clear majority – of the newly elected French parliament may continue to create headwinds for the French PE market.
The upcoming US elections, along with the continuing international instability, may also affect the PE activity from a global standpoint in the coming months.
Slowing economic growth and rising public deficit
France has so far avoided a recession (unlike some of its neighbours) and posted a modest 1.1% growth in GDP for 2023 (compared to 2.5% in 2022). In July 2024, the International Monetary Fund predicted that the French GDP would only grow by 0.9% for 2024.
The country’s significant public debt and the deteriorating budgetary situation are also causing concern. The country’s debt ratio, the third highest in Europe, caused France’s rating downgrade in 2023 by Fitch, followed by a 2024 downgrade by Standard & Poor’s. The resulting higher borrowing costs will likely impede the government’s efforts to lower the deficit and reach its target of 3.0%, which could potentially renew fears of tax increases and negatively impact deal activity.
Record High Dry Powder Levels and Signs of Relative PE Fundraising Slowdown
H1 2024 saw limited fundraising activity with only EUR4.8 billion raised, compared with 2023, a very active year on the fundraising front with EUR21.3 billion capital raised in aggregate. The slowdown in H1 2024 is not necessarily the reflection of gloomy perspectives on the PE market; following a particularly active fundraising environment over the past few years in France, there is a very significant level of dry powder available. As of 31 December 2023, the level of dry powder amounted to almost EUR50 billion, representing a circa 243% increase over a 10-year period and a circa 35% increase since 2020. Given the requirement for sponsors to deploy the funds committed by limited partners within a limited period of time, this dry powder level should support an upcoming uptick in PE deal activity.
On another note, a new sort of momentum in the fundraising landscape may result from the introduction in early 2024 of the European Long-Term Investment Funds 2 Regulation (ELTIF 2) which should favour the democratisation of the PE world for retail investors by addressing many of the constraints previously imposed (such as minimum investment requirement, required amounts for certain eligible assets, etc). It is way too early to predict if these new funds will be successful, but it is a promising development for the European and French PE market.
In terms of the number of funds raised, a clear slowdown can be noted since 2021, with a drop by circa 57% between 2021 and 2023, which should also be understood in light of the increase in the size of the funds raised in France.
As for funds’ profiles, France benefits from a more diverse fundraising environment than other European countries, resulting in a well-balanced representation of the various categories of funds.
Subdued PE Deal and Exit Activity
Robust PE deal activity in spite of a relative slowdown
As mentioned in the general overview above, the level of PE activity has undergone a downturn since 2021, with a decrease in value by circa 5% between 2021 and 2022, by circa 14% between 2022 and 2023 and by circa 24% between H1 2023 and H1 2024. This slowdown has been driven by several factors in addition to the macroeconomic and political uncertainties described in sections above. On the one hand, reasonably priced private targets have remained scarce, with sellers’ valuation expectations remaining pretty high over the past period; on the other hand, significant financing costs have limited the valuation multiple sponsors can afford. The valuation gap has resulted in longer and more complex negotiations as part of the transactions; in particular, legal mechanisms permitting to reconcile sellers’ and purchasers’ views (earn-out provisions, price adjustments, vendor loans, etc) are seen, more than ever, as central aspects of the deal parameters and have given rise to lengthy discussions as part of the deals process.
That being said, the number of transactions has remained quite stable over the same period, evidencing that the market remains dynamic and that actors have managed to carry out transactions and secure the required acquisition financings; in this respect, it is to be noted that the financing landscape saw a diversification of funding sources over the past few years, including through larger recourses to private debt.
In terms of sectors, the renewable energy field has proven to be attractive for PE transactions, which should continue to be the case in the future. From a general standpoint, and in light of the entry into force of the Corporate Sustainability Reporting Directive (CSRD), ESG tends to become a more central aspect of investment policies, granting a competitive advantage to targets that adopt a clear and transparent ESG approach or operate in businesses aligned with ESG constraints. As a side note, it is expected that compliance with the requirements derived from CSRD will constitute a great challenge for PE sponsors and portfolio companies in the coming months and will be a key area of focus.
Echoing trends seen across Europe, jumbo deal (EUR1 billion or more) activity has declined in France’s PE market, with a circa 53% drop in jumbo deals’ value between 2020 and 2023. So far in 2024, only two megadeals were concluded in France (the EUR1.6 billion take-private of Believe by a consortium including EQT and TCV and the EUR3.5 billion acquisition of Neoen by Temasek and Brookfield). In comparison, at least five jumbo deals were announced in H1 2023, including Brookfield’s circa EUR3.5 billion acquisition of Data4, one of the largest deals, globally, of the year.
The average PE deal value in France has been relatively stable over recent years (circa EUR62 million for H1 2024 compared to circa EUR60 million for 2023 and circa EUR59.9 million for 2022), although a decrease can be noted in the long run, with an average deal value of circa EUR74.9 million in 2019 or circa EUR77.6 million in 2020.
Consolidation in the PE industry is also a notable trend in France (eg, potential acquisition of AXA Investment Managers (AXA IM) by BNP Paribas, acquisition of Capza by AXA IM), resulting in a rise of “GP stake” transactions. Certain players, such as Armen, are even dedicated specifically to this type of transaction.
Robust cross-border PE activity
International PE firms are particularly active in the French market and cross-border PE transactions represented almost half of the PE deal value in H1 2024 in France (but only circa 33% of the deal count), quite in line with the proportion observed for full year 2023. Even if certain analysts consider that the French market is affected by heavier regulations and higher tax than in other European jurisdictions, non-European sponsors continue to see the French market as a strong PE hub in Europe, consistently second after the UK in terms of market size.
In terms of the number of deals, French PE actors remain in a leading position in the French market, with Bpifrance, BNP Paribas Développement and Siparex Group being referenced as the top three PE investors over the period from 2020 to Q2 2024.
A declining exit activity over the past periods and signs of rebound
Since 2021, France’s PE exit activity has fallen sharply in value from EUR58.5 billion in 2021 to EUR45.3 billion in 2022 and EUR41.7 billion in 2023. In H1 2024, the value of exit transactions amounted to EUR15.8 billion, compared to EUR28.5 billion in H1 2023.
The lack of public listing plays a role in the lack of exits in France; in fact, there was not a single public listing from a PE-backed company in 2023 and only one so far in 2024 (Exosens, for circa EUR1 billion). However, it should be noted that the depressed IPO environment may, on certain occasions, favour PE transactions: the French pharmaceutical giant Sanofi, for instance, was hoping to spin out its consumer healthcare business via an IPO, but now seems to be leaning towards a PE bid.
There are, however, signs of a rebound on the exit front: Q2 2024 was, for instance, the third highest quarter in terms of PE exit value since Q2 2022. Also, certain evolutions in French laws and regulations should support a new momentum on the IPO market:
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