With a drop in private equity transactions in Q2 2025 following the implementation of tariffs issued by the US administration and the uncertainty following from it, private equity activity continued its growth seen in Q1 2025 into the second half of 2025. The growth in 2025 was in particular powered by a strong increase in large-cap transactions with a deal value exceeding the EUR1 billion threshold, whereas the aggregate deal volume slowed down. This trend continued in Q1 2026, but with the outbreak of the US-Iran war at the end of February 2026, private equity lost momentum as the broader economy assessed the economic impact thereof. This development is especially impacted by the recent rise in inflation due to higher oil prices and the accompanying increase in the ECB interest rate. The ECB’s swift action after three years of lowering interest rates has led to further uncertainty in the market, particularly given the correlation between rising interest rates and the ongoing US-Iran war.
This increase in inflation and successive interest rate hikes has created less favourable conditions for leveraged transactions in comparison to 2025. However, especially the mid-cap segment has lost momentum, while large-cap transactions still saw an increase in activity. The latter can be attributed to the concentration of capital in the private equity market as well as the elevated level of investment capital available.
Valuation discrepancies remain a prominent challenge, particularly in high-growth sectors like tech and AI. Buyers are increasingly relying on structures such as earn-outs, staged acquisitions, and minority stakes to reconcile price expectations and mitigate downside risks. Meanwhile, exit volume increased (except in certain sectors, such as software), enabling general partners (GPs) to return capital to liquidity-constrained limited partners. The secondaries markets have a significant impact on these exit transactions, as continuation vehicles and LP-led transactions are becoming more prominent. Although public capital markets have become more open for IPOs, sponsors continue to rely on P2P transactions, secondary buyouts and structured minority deals.
Fundraising conditions remain demanding, with limited partners requiring more differentiated strategies, operational value creation and ESG alignment. As a result, only sponsors with strong track records or thematic expertise are securing commitments, pushing general partners to adopt new structures like semi-liquid funds or co-investment platforms.
In 2026, the most active sectors in the German private equity market include: Healthcare and MedTech, industrial production and manufacturing, AI and data infrastructure, as well as energy and utilities. One of the strongest sector shifts can be seen in the defence sector due to the rise in global conflicts, with deal activity surging in Q2 2026.
Geopolitical instability, including the war in Ukraine, the US-Iran war, and the impact on global trade and supply chains resulting from the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, has contributed to market volatility and heightened risk awareness. Although these challenges have not derailed deal activity, they have led to increased focus on operational resilience, more stringent due diligence and higher premiums on “safe” domestic targets with lower geopolitical exposure.
Trade tensions continue to be of particular concern to the market in 2026. The United States continues to impose high, double-digit tariffs on countries that do not enter into bilateral “sectoral” trade agreements. The EU has negotiated such an agreement, which came into force in July 2026 and which may restore a certain degree of reliability to the geopolitical framework. However, the 15% tariffs agreed upon in the “sectoral” trade agreement continue to put pressure on crucial export sectors such as steel, aluminium and automotive parts, affecting corporate strategies.
Those macro-economic trends, as well as rising energy prices resulting from the conflicts in the Middle East, ECB rate hikes and geopolitical uncertainties, have also led to a reduction in high leverage deployment, indicating sustained restraint by sponsors. Therefore, sponsors remain selective and prioritise high-quality assets with clear EBITDA pathways, strong governance and limited regulatory friction.
Lastly, continued developments (or anticipated developments) in the AI sector have shaped the deal landscape. Investors put a stronger emphasis on business models with (expected) AI resilience, refraining from investments that may be negatively impacted by AI. As a result, in particular the software sector has seen a strong decline in deal activity, both on the buy side as well as on the sell side. 2026 may show whether (and at which valuation) software assets which generally have become exit ready will find a new owner.
In summary, macro-economic turbulence, geopolitical uncertainty and selective sectoral growth will underpin Germany’s private equity activity in 2026. Specific sectors, such as software, are under pressure as a result of worldwide scientific developments, particularly in AI. Nevertheless, there is optimism that the anticipated high volume of activity at the beginning of 2026 will materialise by the end of the year.
Foreign Direct Investment Reform and Envisaged Investment Screening Act
Germany’s Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) reforms in 2020 and 2021 have significantly impacted private equity transactions and continue to do so, particularly in sectors critical to national security, such as information and communication technology, healthcare, biotechnology, energy, and high-tech industries like aerospace and AI.
In June 2026, the Council of the European Union adopted a new EU FDI Screening Regulation, mandating co-ordinated screening practices across member states and expanding the scope to include military and dual-use goods, advanced technologies (eg, AI, quantum, semiconductors) and critical infrastructure. The regulation also strengthens the European Commission’s influence on national review processes regarding transactions that pose systemic risks to the EU’s strategic autonomy. Furthermore, investors from “safe countries” will no longer be exempted under the new regulation. The new rules will take effect around the start of 2028.
To that end, the German government is preparing a legislative reform, in the form of an Investment Screening Act (Investitionsprüfungsgesetz), which is expected to consolidate existing FDI screening rules and formalise review processes. A draft bill is expected to be published by mid-2026, after which it will enter the formal legislative process. Once in force, it is expected to expand sectoral coverage and recalibrate intervention thresholds, although the precise scope remains subject to parliamentary debate. Regulatory clearance will therefore remain a key element of the M&A timeline.
EU Inc
On 18 March 2026, the European Commission presented the proposal for a Regulation on the 28th regime corporate legal framework, the “EU Inc”. This initiative aims to implement a standalone European limited liability company with a directly applicable corporate framework, which co-exists with national company forms. This introduction of a harmonised legal form is intended to better harness the potential of the European single market, make it easier for high-growth companies to scale up and expand, and provide investors from the EU and third countries with access to relevant investment opportunities.
According to the Commission’s proposal, this EU Inc would require no minimum share capital, no notarial form for share transfers or capital increases, and could be incorporated fully online within 48 hours using standardised model articles. Regulatory gaps are filled by the national law of the registered office (ie, in Germany, the legislation governing limited liability companies). If adopted, the EU Inc could provide a more flexible structuring alternative for cross-border holding and acquisition vehicles in private equity transactions.
The legislative process is to be advanced expeditiously, with the aim of reaching an agreement in the trilogue by the end of 2026.
EU Foreign Subsidies Regulation (FSR)
The EU Foreign Subsidies Regulation (FSR), in force since mid-2023, adds scrutiny to private equity transactions involving foreign subsidies. For private equity investors, the FSR applies where a transaction qualifies as a “concentration” and where the relevant parties have received substantial non-EU state aid (defined by financial thresholds). As of 2026, the FSR has become a material consideration in cross-border deal planning. This importance is shown by recent examples of EU investigations into transactions such as JD.com’s bid to acquire Ceconomy or the acquisition of Electronic Arts by a Saudi-led investor group.
These cases signal a growing trend of regulatory activism and highlight the increasing compliance burden for foreign-backed acquirers. This is exemplified by the fact that at the end of December 2025, the European Commission had received almost 300 M&A filings under the FSR, far exceeding the Commission’s estimates. It is therefore necessary to conduct early stage FSR analyses in private equity transactions to avoid delays or challenges.
ESG, Sustainability and Supply Chain Compliance
Environmental, social, and governance (ESG) regulation continues to reshape private equity strategy and transaction execution in Europe. The EU Corporate Sustainability Reporting Directive (CSRD) requires large companies and in-scope portfolio firms to disclose detailed non-financial information, including climate-related risks, human rights compliance, and governance frameworks.
In parallel, the Corporate Sustainability Due Diligence Directive (CSDDD) introduced mandatory human rights and environmental due diligence obligations towards business partners. This is further compounded by evolving national rules on supply chain transparency, labour standards, and co-determination rights, particularly in Germany.
The Omnibus I Directive became effective in March 2026, significantly amending the CSRD and CSDDD. As a result, the CSRD only applies to companies with over 1,000 employees and EUR450 million turnover, translating into a significant reduction of its applicability by around 90%, and the CSDDD only applies to companies with over 5,000 employees and EUR1.5 billion turnover, translating into a reduction of its applicability by 70%. For private equity sponsors, a particularly relevant change under the Omnibus I Directive is the exemption of “financial holding undertakings” from CSRD reporting obligations. As a result, sustainability reporting requirements may only apply at the operational portfolio company level rather than at the level of the fund.
The German government has further made significant changes to the corporate penalty framework by implementing the Directive (EU) 2024/1203 on the protection of the environment through criminal law (the Environmental Directive). Part of this reform is the increase of the maximum corporate fine, quadrupling fines to up to EUR40 million in the event of violations of law.
The compliance burdens for both GPs and their portfolio companies are still substantial under EU law, but have been significantly reduced by the Omnibus I Directive.
ESG metrics are still embedded in investment decisions, governance frameworks, transaction documentation and debt covenants. LPs are also demanding robust ESG integration at the fund level, which is accelerating the institutionalisation of sustainability across the private equity lifecycle.
In Germany, private equity transactions fall under the purview of multiple regulatory bodies. The most relevant authorities are:
Each authority plays a distinct role, and their oversight can overlap depending on transaction size, target sector, and investor origin.
Merger Control
Private equity deals are subject to merger control under the German Act against Restraints of Competition (GWB) and, where applicable, the EU Merger Regulation. Transactions exceeding statutory thresholds must be notified to the Bundeskartellamt or the European Commission. The German government published a draft bill in June 2026 proposing an increase of the current thresholds of worldwide and domestic turnover from EUR500 million/EUR50 million/EUR17.5 million to EUR750 million/ EUR75 million/EUR 20 million as well as simplifying the assessment procedure if the transaction value of EUR400 million is exceeded.
The Bundeskartellamt clears most transactions in Phase I without conditions, but complex deals, particularly in consolidated industries or where vertical integration poses risks, may trigger Phase II reviews. Strategic exit planning must account for potential clearance delays or remedies.
Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) Screening
Recent legislative changes in Germany (see above) have tightened FDI screening, expanding the number of sectors covered and lowering filing thresholds. The screening process differentiates between sector-specific reviews for traditionally sensitive areas like military, defence, and IT security, and cross-sectoral reviews for critical infrastructure, healthcare, biotech, AI, and other industries. The FDI rules apply more rigorously to non-EU/EFTA investors and are particularly stringent for investors from countries such as China, Russia or the Middle East. The BMWE tends to scrutinise investments from these regions more critically. The number of cases reviewed by the BMWE has increased significantly, with 339 cases reviewed in 2025, up from 261 in 2024 and 257 in 2023. However, the proportion of cases in which restricted measures have been ordered remains low, at under 5%. Similarly, the number of in-depth reviews remains low, with fewer than 10% of cases undergoing Phase II review.
EU Foreign Subsidies Regulation (FSR)
Since July 2023, the EU FSR has introduced a new layer of regulatory oversight for transactions involving non-EU financial support. A notification is required where:
This regulation is increasingly treated as a closing condition, alongside merger control and FDI approval. Early enforcement trends (eg ADNOC’s acquisition of Covestro) underscore the FSR’s rising relevance in private equity transactions. This is exemplified by Haier’s takeover bid for Purmo Group, which was in part unsuccessful due to uncertainties regarding the FSR.
The European Commission’s updated FSR Q&As, published in September 2025, have simplified the disclosure requirements for private equity funds, resulting in reduced reporting burdens and simpler FSR notification requirements.
Anti-Bribery, Sanctions and ESG Compliance
Germany has sharpened enforcement around ESG, sanctions, and anti-bribery compliance, particularly in light of the Corporate Sustainability Reporting Directive (CSRD), the Environmental Directive, and growing EU sanctions regimes related to Russia, Belarus, Iran and China. Private equity funds are increasingly required to conduct enhanced due diligence on supply chains, data governance, and labour practices. Many funds have embedded ESG KPIs into shareholder agreements and portfolio monitoring. Anti-bribery enforcement remains aligned with OECD and EU standards, but enforcement risks are rising for companies operating in high-risk jurisdictions.
Legal due diligence in German private equity transactions follows a comprehensive and risk-focused issue-spotting approach. Most deals rely on a structured virtual data room (VDR), with findings delivered through focused red-flag reports, tailored to the deal’s complexity and sector exposure. This report typically also provides the client with recommendations on how to mitigate the risks arising from the transaction and, where possible, comments on the commercial implications of these risks.
Beyond deal-specific commercial matters, due diligence routinely targets key legal areas such as corporate law, commercial contracts, finance, employment, IP, IT and data protection, real estate, compliance, insurance, litigation and regulatory matters. In particular, German FDI screening and merger control thresholds are reviewed early, especially in sectors like healthcare, defence, AI, and digital infrastructure. ESG-related legal due diligence has become a standard component, driven by the CSRD, CSDDD, and Germany’s Supply Chain Act. Legal teams assess not only the existence of ESG policies but also their operational implementation and legal robustness, especially for international targets.
Another critical focus is data governance and IP ownership. Private equity investors in AI-, software-, and tech-heavy targets pay close attention to the provenance of training data, open-source software usage, and compliance with GDPR in light of the EU AI Act. Algorithm transparency, model explainability, and liability allocation are emerging as headline issues. Employment law diligence addresses key personnel contracts, incentive schemes, and the presence of works councils (Betriebsräte), which may introduce specific co-determination rights post-transaction.
In 2026, AI-based legal tech tools are increasingly used to automate document review, track versions and flag standard clauses – particularly useful in high-volume, time-sensitive auction processes. Furthermore, clients have shown increased awareness of the possibilities provided by AI-based legal tech tools and more and more pro-actively ask for AI-enabled due diligence support (at least in respect of certain legal areas) in order to reduce due diligence cost.
Vendor due diligence remains common in competitive auction sales. Rather than providing a full legal due diligence report in the traditional sense, sellers often offer a legal fact book: a concise summary of key corporate and legal facts, prepared without legal opinions. It allows for identifying and addressing potentially deal-critical issues early, helping to streamline and speeding up the legal and commercial negotiation process. These legal fact books are generally made available on a non-reliance basis, meaning prospective buyers must sign a release or waiver letter in favour of the sell-side legal advisers before being granted access. Even where a vendor due diligence report or legal fact book is provided, buyers will typically conduct supplementary buy-side (or “top-up”) legal due diligence to verify key findings and ensure alignment with their internal risk thresholds.
In Germany, private equity funds typically execute acquisitions through privately negotiated share purchase agreements, primarily aiming to acquire majority or full ownership stakes in the target company. This approach, predominantly structured as a “share deal”, is the most common method and allows for flexibility in tailoring transaction terms directly between the buyer and seller. While public tender offers can occur for publicly listed targets, they are relatively rare in the context of private equity. Asset deals, where specific assets and liabilities are acquired instead of shares, are less frequent due to their higher administrative complexity (eg, consent requirements, employee transfers). They are generally reserved for special situations such as corporate carve-outs or distressed M&A scenarios, where a share deal may not be feasible or desirable.
Both one-on-one negotiations and structured auction processes are typical in the German market. As a general pattern, larger or highly sought-after targets are more likely to be sold through a competitive auction. In bilateral deals, private equity investors often have greater scope to negotiate transaction terms, including warranties, indemnities, and pricing mechanisms. This allows for a more customised allocation of legal and commercial risks. By contrast, auction sales tend to be more rigid. The seller typically imposes a pre-drafted, standardised set of terms via a sell-side SPA (with limited flexibility for amendment). Timelines are tighter, competition is stronger, and bidders are generally expected to conform to the seller’s process, leaving less room for individual due diligence or customised structuring. However, auctions often yield higher valuations for sellers, making them an attractive route for exits.
Private equity-backed acquisitions in Germany are typically structured through a dedicated special purpose vehicle (SPV), commonly referred to as “BidCo”. This entity is incorporated specifically for the purpose of executing the transaction and serves as the formal buyer under the acquisition documentation. The BidCo is usually controlled by the private equity fund or its affiliated investment entities and is capitalised through a combination of equity and debt, depending on the financing structure.
The private equity fund itself does not normally appear as a direct party to the share or asset purchase agreement. However, it often plays a decisive role behind the scenes in negotiating key terms and shaping the transaction structure. In certain cases, particularly in competitive auctions or when additional comfort is required, fund entities may be asked to provide guarantee arrangements or other forms of investor support to backstop the BidCo’s obligations.
Overall, the fund remains strategically involved throughout the process but generally avoids taking on direct contractual liability in the transaction documents, maintaining a layer of separation through the SPV structure.
Private equity transactions in Germany are typically financed through a combination of equity and debt, with the capital structure tailored to the size, complexity, and risk profile of the deal. The sponsor generally provides the equity portion to the BidCo, and it is standard practice for the seller to receive an equity commitment letter (addressed to the BidCo as beneficiary) from the fund or a controlling investment entity. This document contractually secures the availability of equity capital and is a critical component in establishing funding certainty at signing, particularly in competitive auction processes. Due to German notarisation requirements, where a limited liability company is the target, equity commitment letters are typically notarised together with the main transaction documentation.
For the debt-financed portion, the approach depends on market conditions and deal dynamics. In larger or time-sensitive transactions, debt commitment letters from financing banks or private credit funds are commonly provided at signing and attached to the SPAs. These are typically accompanied by term sheets and limited conditionality to assure the seller that the full purchase price will be available at closing. In situations where formal commitments have not been established yet, sellers may request alternative forms of comfort, such as highly confident letters, financing process updates, or even break fees tied to financing failure.
Over the years, tighter monetary policies and elevated interest rates have made leveraged finance more selective and expensive, especially for large-cap transactions. Consequently, there has been a noticeable shift towards securing more solid financing commitments early in the deal process. Additionally, private equity sponsors have increasingly turned to private credit funds, which offer more flexible structures, faster execution, and, in some cases, greater certainty of funding.
Club deals, or multi-sponsor acquisitions, are uncommon in the German mid-market, but occasionally occur in large-cap or sector-specific transactions. More common are LP co-investments, where limited partners of the lead fund invest passively alongside the GP.
In German private equity transactions, the predominant pricing mechanisms remain locked-box and closing accounts. Locked-box structures are typically favoured in auction processes and by private equity sellers due to the price certainty they offer, while closing accounts are more prevalent in bilateral or complex deals, as they allow for post-closing adjustments.
Earn-outs, deferred payments, and equity rollovers are frequently employed to bridge valuation gaps, particularly in founder-led or growth-stage transactions. Equity rollovers are especially common where existing management retains an equity stake to ensure post-closing alignment.
Private equity sellers typically prefer locked-box pricing mechanisms and rely extensively on warranty and indemnity (W&I) insurance to limit post-completion liability. Conversely, buyers (notably private equity funds) often advocate for closing accounts to ensure financial precision. Compared to strategic corporate acquirers, private equity investors tend to adopt more standardised and risk-mitigated approaches to pricing and liability allocation.
In transactions that use a locked-box mechanism, it is standard practice for the equity consideration to accumulate a fixed daily amount (known as a “ticker”) from the locked-box date until the closing. This arrangement compensates the seller for the buyer’s delayed access to the target’s economic benefits. This “interest” is typically structured as a predetermined daily cash amount, often based on the target’s cash flow projections rather than prevailing debt market rates.
German private equity transaction documents frequently incorporate expert determination clauses to resolve post-closing disputes arising under closing accounts or earn-out provisions (for instance, in relation to net debt or working capital calculations). The appointed expert is typically a neutral accounting professional whose determination is binding, save for manifest error.
In contrast, locked-box structures typically do not require post-closing financial adjustments due to their fixed-price nature. Nevertheless, disputes may still arise in connection with alleged leakage or breaches of locked-box protections, and such claims are typically resolved through general dispute resolution clauses, such as arbitration or litigation, rather than expert determination. The chosen pricing model often dictates the dispute resolution framework.
German private equity transactions are generally characterised by limited conditionality. Conditions precedent typically relate to essential regulatory approvals, particularly merger control and FDI clearance. Financing conditions are highly atypical, particularly in competitive auction settings, where sellers expect “certain funds” commitments (ie, fully committed financing at signing).
Material adverse change (MAC) clauses may occasionally be negotiated but are rarely invoked and often narrowly defined or resisted altogether. Third-party consents may be included if deal-critical, although most buyers attempt to address these pre-signing or via post-closing covenants. Shareholder approvals are generally not required unless a co-investor or existing stakeholder holds consent or blocking rights. Overall, the market standard favours high deal certainty and minimal execution risk.
Private equity buyers in Germany rarely accept unconditional “hell or high water” undertakings in respect of regulatory approvals due to the potential exposure such commitments entail. More commonly, they agree to use “reasonable best efforts”, while explicitly excluding divestiture obligations relating to other portfolio companies.
Exceptions may arise where regulatory risk is deemed low or competitive dynamics require more buyer flexibility. Even in such scenarios, break fees tied to failure to obtain regulatory clearance are usually disfavoured. A distinction is typically made between merger control (where buyers may be more amenable, depending on the antitrust assessment) and foreign investment screening, which is generally more politically sensitive and can be less predictable.
Break fees in favour of the seller remain relatively uncommon in German private equity transactions and are not considered part of standard market practice. Where they are agreed, such provisions typically arise in cross-border or highly competitive transactions and are triggered by buyer failures (for example, to secure financing or regulatory clearances within stipulated timeframes). Agreed fee levels generally range from 1–5% of the purchase price. Depending on the type of transaction, certain break fee arrangements outside of the SPA need to be notarised.
Acquisition agreements in German private equity transactions typically provide both parties with termination rights if closing conditions, notably regulatory clearances, are not fulfilled by an agreed long-stop date. Additional termination triggers may include breach of fundamental warranties, failure to deliver closing deliverables, or, less frequently, the occurrence of a contractually defined material adverse change.
Long-stop periods mostly range from three to six months post-signing, depending on the deal’s complexity and regulatory timeline. In auction or time-sensitive transactions, shorter long-stop periods may apply, while longer periods are often negotiated for transactions subject to FDI clearance or multijurisdictional merger control. Extensions are sometimes built in to accommodate pending approvals.
Risk allocation in private equity transactions diverges significantly from corporate-to-corporate M&A. Private equity sellers seek a “clean exit”, typically achieved through tight contractual limitations on liability, the use of W&I insurance, and limited warranties. In contrast, corporate sellers may accept broader warranties and greater residual exposure. However, the growing prevalence of W&I insurance is narrowing this distinction, as corporate sellers increasingly seek a similarly clean exit with limited post-closing liability.
On the buy-side, private equity purchasers adopt a risk-sensitive and highly structured approach, including detailed due diligence, bespoke indemnity provisions, and safeguards around financing. In secondary buyouts, private equity acquirers often accept more limited warranties than in acquisitions from corporate vendors. Overall, private equity buyers and sellers alike prioritise contractual certainty and well-defined liability regimes.
In German private equity exits, the private equity seller typically provides a set of fundamental warranties, such as title to shares, authority and capacity, and business warranties, such as warranties relating – eg, to operations, compliance, IP or material contracts. The scope of business warranties accepted is often limited by the scope of coverage under the W&I insurance; ie, the business warranties and W&I insurance coverage are closely aligned during the negotiations of the SPA. Tax indemnities are customarily provided either directly by the seller (and covered by the W&I insurance) or increasingly on a purely synthetic basis through insurance, albeit with a narrower scope and standard exclusions.
Liability for fundamental warranties is usually capped at 100% of the purchase price with a survival period of five to seven years, and the liability of business warranties is usually capped at 10–30% of the purchase price, with survival periods of 12–24 months. If a deal is insured, the limitation period for fundamental warranties is usually capped at three years and the business warranties at one year, with a synthetical extension under the insurance policy to seven years for fundamental warranties and three years for business warranties.
Tax indemnities, if granted, may extend to 100% of the purchase price with longer limitation periods, frequently up to seven years.
Disclosure of the data room against warranties is standard and typically allowed. W&I insurance policies generally adopt the same disclosure framework and carve out known issues, which must be separately negotiated or excluded. Overall, limitations on warranty liability in German private equity deals are defined by quantum caps, time limits, knowledge qualifiers and the exclusion of known or insured risks, with the buyer assuming residual commercial risk post-closing.
Additional contractual protections include materiality thresholds, knowledge qualifiers, as well as negotiated “sandbagging” clauses that limit claims for issues known to the buyer before closing.
W&I insurance has become quite prevalent in German M&A transactions and is particularly dominant in sell-side private equity deals. This insurance is generally utilised to cover both fundamental and business warranties, protecting buyers while minimising significant liability for the seller. Furthermore, W&I insurance can and frequently does encompass tax issues (including tax indemnities), especially in transactions where the parties aim to circumvent lengthy negotiations. Enhancements favouring the purchaser are largely standard in contemporary W&I-insured transactions. Additionally, purely synthetic tax indemnities have seen increased usage in recent times. It is recognised in the market that purely synthetic catalogues of representations and warranties may also be provided by W&I insurers under specific conditions; however, this concept remains relatively novel in the German market.
Escrow accounts or retention mechanisms have been relatively rare in German private equity transactions and the broader German M&A landscape in recent years. Nevertheless, when utilised, they are generally employed to secure warranties or particular indemnities, offering an extra layer of protection for the buyer. In these instances, the escrow amount is typically a minor percentage of the purchase price and is retained in escrow for a limited duration, often corresponding with the warranty periods.
Litigation in connection with German private equity transactions is relatively rare, owing to comprehensive due diligence, arbitration clauses, and widespread use of W&I insurance. However, disputes may still arise, most commonly in relation to earn-outs, purchase price adjustments, and warranty breaches – particularly where undisclosed liabilities or financial underperformance are alleged.
Tax indemnities and indemnities for specific known risks may also become contentious. Increased deal complexity and heightened valuation pressures, particularly under 2025–2026 market conditions, may lead to a moderate uptick in disputes over consideration mechanisms in the future.
After 2024 and 2025, which were marked by a prominent wave of public-to-private (P2P) transactions driven by private equity bidders – including the takeovers of CompuGroup and Covestro as well as the failed attempt to acquire Gerresheimer – the focus has more recently shifted towards strategic buyers. Notable recent bids by strategic acquirers include ProSiebenSat.1, Nürnberger Beteiligungs AG and Northern Data, as well as the ongoing acquisition efforts concerning Nagarro SE and, most prominently, the hostile takeover bid for Commerzbank.
Under the German Securities Trading Act (Wertpapierhandelsgesetz – WpHG), material shareholding thresholds trigger mandatory disclosure obligations when a shareholder acquires or disposes of voting rights in a company listed in a regulated market. The relevant thresholds are 3%, 5%, 10%, 15%, 20%, 25%, 30%, 50%, and 75%. Any crossing of these thresholds must be disclosed without undue delay, and no later than four trading days, to both the target company and the German Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (Bundesanstalt für Finanzdienstleistungsaufsicht – Bafin).
For private equity-backed bidders preparing a tender offer, strict compliance with these disclosure requirements is essential. Voting rights aggregation includes not only directly held shares but also shares held via subsidiaries, controlled undertakings, or persons acting in concert. Notably, the “acting in concert” doctrine may trigger disclosure even where individual shareholdings remain below the respective threshold, making accurate coordination and attribution critical, especially in syndicate or co-investment structures.
Non-compliance may result in substantial fines and temporary suspension of voting rights, potentially undermining transaction certainty.
Under the German Securities Acquisition and Takeover Act (Wertpapiererwerbs- und Übernahmegesetz – WpÜG), any party that directly or indirectly acquires 30% or more of the voting rights in a company listed in a German regulated market is obliged to launch a mandatory public offer to all remaining shareholders. This mechanism is intended to protect minority shareholders by providing them with an opportunity to sell their shares in the event of a change of control.
For private equity bidders, the 30% threshold calculation includes not only direct holdings but also attributed voting rights from affiliated entities, co-investing funds, or commonly controlled portfolio companies. Consequently, careful structuring and legal analysis are required to prevent inadvertent triggering of the mandatory offer requirement. Strategic co-ordination between parallel investment vehicles within a private equity group is particularly sensitive in this context.
In German public tender offers, cash is the predominant form of consideration – particularly in transactions involving private equity sponsors – due to its simplicity, speed, and appeal to shareholders, as well as its alignment with regulatory requirements. Share-for-share exchanges are rare and typically confined to strategic or corporate transactions, for example, Rumble's share-for-share tender offer for Northern Data.
German takeover law imposes strict minimum price rules under the WpÜG. The offer price must equal or exceed:
Should a bidder opt to include shares or other non-cash instruments as consideration, a cash alternative must be provided to ensure equal treatment. These rules serve to safeguard minority shareholder interests and prevent coercive pricing strategies. For private equity acquirers, careful monitoring of pre-announcement acquisitions is crucial, as even small share purchases at a premium can set the floor for the final offer price.
In Germany, takeover offers can include certain conditions, but these are subject to strict legal limitations under the WpÜG. The law requires that any conditions attached to a public tender offer must be objective, clearly defined, and not subject solely to the bidder’s discretion. The conditions must be capable of being verified and fulfilled (or not fulfilled) based on observable, independent events. Conditions in takeover offers are further generally only permissible if the takeover offer is voluntary; if a takeover offer is mandatory, conditions other than obtaining regulatory approvals are not permitted.
One important restriction is that a tender offer cannot be conditional on the bidder obtaining financing. German law mandates that a bidder must have secured firm and unconditional financing before the offer is launched. Typically, this involves presenting a written confirmation from a financing bank or institution, ensuring that the bidder is in a position to fully settle the offer consideration if the transaction succeeds. This rule aims to provide transaction security and protect minority shareholders.
Permissible conditions typically include:
Despite the statutory emphasis on board neutrality and shareholder autonomy, certain deal protection mechanisms are permissible in friendly transactions, including:
Certain US-style deal protections, such as force-the-vote provisions, are not applicable in the German framework. In German public tender offers, shareholders individually decide whether to tender their shares; there is no binding shareholder vote on the offer itself.
In conclusion, while private equity-backed bidders can structure conditional offers and seek a degree of deal protection in Germany, they must do so within a legal framework that strictly limits conditionality and prioritises deal certainty and equal treatment of shareholders.
If a private equity bidder fails to secure complete ownership of a target, it may still pursue additional governance rights to assert control over the company. These rights can encompass board representation, veto powers on critical decisions (including alterations in business strategy, significant capital investments, or mergers and acquisitions), and influence over the selection of senior management. Typically, these rights are negotiated within a shareholders’ agreement with other principal shareholders or incorporated into the company’s articles of association.
In order to facilitate a debt push-down into the target after a successful bid, a minimum of 75% of the voting shares is necessary, as this threshold enables the bidder to pass specific shareholder resolutions essential for capital restructuring, such as the endorsement of a domination agreement or profit transfer agreement, which are frequently employed to support a debt push-down by allowing the target’s cash flows to cover the acquisition debt.
Under German law, squeeze-out mechanisms are accessible for bidders who attain substantial ownership percentages but do not reach 100%. If the bidder achieves 95% ownership of the target’s share capital, it can commence a squeeze-out in accordance with the German stock corporation law, mandating the remaining minority shareholders to divest their shares at a fair cash compensation. If more than 90% ownership percentage is achieved but less than 95%, a squeeze-out via a merger may be a viable option to gain complete ownership.
It has become increasingly common in German takeovers (particularly those backed by private equity sponsors) for bidders to secure irrevocable undertakings from key shareholders to tender their shares. These undertakings are typically concluded before the public announcement and are designed to increase deal certainty and achieve acceptance thresholds.
Commitments of this nature are typically binding and cannot be withdrawn, even when there are better offers available. However, where institutional or fiduciary shareholders are involved, a limited “fiduciary out” clause may be negotiated, allowing withdrawal in the event of a superior offer that must be accepted to comply with fiduciary duties.
These agreements typically restrict transfers, prohibit support for competing offers, and may include standstill provisions. Although enforceable under German law, they must be structured to comply with takeover regulations, especially those regarding equal treatment and transparency.
Particular caution must be exercised if such commitments are entered into within one year after public announcement of a tender offer and include arrangements on pricing of shares, as this can be seen as a circumvention of the minimum price obligations under the WpÜG, resulting in potential obligations to pay the shareholders who tendered their shares in the tender offer the delta between price per share offered in the tender offer and price per share indicated in an irrevocable commitment.
Equity incentivisation of the management team is a well-established feature of private equity transactions in Germany. Sponsors routinely implement management equity participation programmes (MEPs) to align key executives’ interests with those of the investor and to drive long-term value creation throughout the investment horizon.
Management equity typically ranges from 3% to 20% of the fully diluted share capital, depending on factors such as company size, management’s track record and negotiating leverage, and the extent of reinvestment by founders or sellers. Equity is often structured through a mix of direct shareholdings, “sweet equity”, and virtual or phantom instruments. These arrangements are generally subject to vesting provisions, good leaver/bad leaver mechanics, and liquidity tied to exit events. German tax, employment, regulatory and corporate law considerations significantly influence the structuring of such programmes.
Although virtual participation models and option plans are available in the German market, the most common and tax-efficient structure continues to be indirect share ownership through a management pooling vehicle, usually organised as a limited partnership (Kommanditgesellschaft – KG). The management acquires limited partner interests, whereas the general partner and any warehousing entity are controlled by the sponsor, allowing the private equity fund to centralise governance.
Incentive structures commonly involve either pure “sweet equity” – granted on more favourable terms to management to deliver enhanced upside – or a combination of “sweet equity” and the “institutional strip”, representing the investor’s senior capital contribution, often with preferred return rights and downside protection.
Managers generally hold subordinated equity (ordinary shares, growth shares, or separate profit-participating classes) that participate only in value above certain thresholds. In contrast, the sponsor typically invests (additionally) through preferred shares or shareholder loans, ranking senior in the capital waterfall. Careful tax planning is essential to ensure returns are taxed as capital gains rather than employment income, particularly given the evolving scrutiny from tax authorities.
Vesting provisions are standard in German private equity-backed management equity schemes, designed to promote long-term alignment and retention. Time-based vesting over a three-to-five-year period is most common, frequently including an initial cliff followed by linear vesting. Alternatively, vesting may be performance-based or tied to exit events.
Leaver provisions distinguish between:
Until early 2025, German case law created by the Federal Labour Court (Bundesarbeitsgericht) permitted bad leaver provisions in virtual option schemes. However, in a pivotal decision issued in March 2025, the court held that contractual clauses mandating forfeiture of virtual options upon voluntary resignation are invalid for being unreasonably discriminatory under employment law. This ruling calls for more nuanced drafting of virtual schemes to withstand judicial scrutiny. Conversely, in a decision made at the beginning of 2026, the Federal Court of Justice (Bundesgerichtshof) took a sponsor-friendly stance by allowing “exit-only” call options, provided they do not constitute an abuse of rights.
Leaver regimes are typically embedded in the shareholders’ agreement and must be carefully structured to remain enforceable under German employment and contract law.
It is customary for management shareholders in private equity transactions to agree to restrictive covenants such as non-compete, non-solicitation, and non-disparagement undertakings. These covenants are designed to protect the value of the investment and prevent managers from undermining the business post-departure or during a competitive process.
These covenants are typically reflected in both the employment contract and the shareholders’ agreement. The employment contract outlines restrictions during the period of employment and for a limited time afterwards, while the shareholders’ agreement may impose wider constraints related to the ownership and sale of equity.
German law imposes specific limits on enforceability, especially for post-termination non-competes:
In practice, restrictive covenants are a standard part of the overall management equity and employment package, but they must be carefully tailored to avoid invalidation under German labour or competition law.
Minority protections for management shareholders are typically contractual and narrowly circumscribed. These may include limited veto rights over fundamental matters such as amendments to the articles of association, capital restructurings, or changes to the business purpose. However, broader governance rights, such as board representation or consent rights over exits, are rarely granted unless management holds a substantial stake or has significant negotiation leverage.
Anti-dilution protections are not standard, but are lately often granted in cases of significant reinvestment. Generally, the private equity sponsor retains full discretion over the exit process, with management required to cooperate and roll over equity when mandated under the shareholders’ agreement.
Private equity funds typically exert significant control over their portfolio companies through a combination of governance, contractual rights, and information asymmetry.
Board Appointment Rights
Private equity funds typically secure the right to appoint one or more members to the portfolio company’s board of directors or supervisory board, depending on the jurisdiction and company structure. This enables the fund to actively influence the company’s strategic direction and oversee key operational decisions.
Reserved Matters Requiring Shareholder Approval
Private equity investors generally negotiate a wide range of reserved matters that require their prior consent before the company can proceed. These typically cover fundamental corporate actions such as changes to the capital structure, including:
The scope of these reserved matters is intentionally broad to ensure that the private equity fund retains oversight and control over any strategic decisions that could materially affect the value of its investment.
Information Rights
Extensive information rights are standard, granting private equity investors access to regular, detailed financial and operational reports. Typically, these include quarterly and annual financial statements, management accounts, and operational KPIs. Additionally, private equity investors often have the right to request ad hoc information to closely monitor the company’s performance and respond proactively to emerging issues.
In Germany, where the portfolio company is commonly structured as a limited liability company (GmbH), the principle of separate legal personality generally protects private equity funds from direct liability for the company’s actions beyond their capital contribution.
However, liability risks may arise if the private equity fund is deemed to exercise de facto management over the GmbH. This situation can occur if the fund is deeply involved in the day-to-day operations or strategic decision-making of the company, effectively acting as a manager rather than merely as a shareholder. Under such circumstances, the fund could be held liable for certain management actions or obligations, provided specific conditions are met. In rare cases, German courts (notably the Bundesgerichtshof) have imposed liability where sponsors caused unlawful payments post-insolvency or were involved in fraudulent asset stripping. Liability may also arise where there is improper commingling of shareholder and company assets or unjustified withdrawals of value that threaten the company’s solvency.
In Germany, the most common form of private equity exit remains private sales to other private equity investors (secondary buyouts) or strategic corporate buyers. While exits via IPOs or through corporate restructurings, such as mergers or spin-offs, do occur, they are comparatively rare due to market volatility and regulatory complexity. Although the IPO market has faced headwinds in recent years – with some planned listings being postponed – there have been notable successes, including the IPOs of Otto Bock, innoscripta and Pfisterer, as well as the spin-off of TKMS. 2026 has seen increased activity in European IPOs, with particular focus on the defence segment, underpinned by the IPOs of Gabler Group, SMAG Mobile Antenna Masts and Vincorion in the first half in Germany alone, suggesting a more favourable environment may be taking shape.
Dual-track exit strategies, where a company is simultaneously prepared for an IPO and a private sale, are occasionally used in large-cap deals. This approach helps maximise value by maintaining flexibility and creating competitive pressure between bidders and the public market. However, outside of these large-cap situations – such as STADA or TK Elevators – “dual-track” processes are quite rare in Germany due to their significant complexity and cost.
“Triple-track” exits, which add a recapitalisation process alongside an IPO and a sale process, are even less common but may be deployed in complex exits or where valuation uncertainty persists.
Private equity sellers in Germany do not typically roll over or reinvest upon exit. Instead, they often seek a complete exit to return capital to their investors. However, in some cases, especially in secondary buyouts, there may be a partial reinvestment or rollover reflecting strategic alignment or continuity incentives.
Alongside full exits, structured minority deals have gained traction in the German market as sponsors seek liquidity or capital for growth without relinquishing full control. Such transactions are frequently used to de-risk a position ahead of a full exit, fund add-on acquisitions, or provide existing limited partners with partial liquidity while allowing the asset additional time to mature. As demonstrated by the examples of Techem and Syntegon, these minority deals are particularly prevalent in large-cap transactions.
Drag-along and tag-along rights are standard features in German private equity shareholder agreements and play a key role in managing shareholder relations during exit scenarios.
The drag-along threshold, which allows majority shareholders to require minority shareholders to sell their shares, is typically set at around 50% of the voting rights. This ensures that a controlling shareholder can initiate a clean exit, even without unanimous consent.
Tag-along rights, on the other hand, are designed to protect minority shareholders by allowing them to participate in a sale under the same terms as the majority seller. These rights usually apply to any sale by the majority, including partial disposals, and may be structured pro rata, depending on the shareholder agreement and equity structure.
Institutional co-investors, who often hold significant stakes and possess greater negotiating leverage, frequently secure customised terms, such as modified thresholds or enhanced protections, to better reflect their investment strategies and risk preferences.
Despite a general consensus on these rights, they are seldom activated in practice. Typically, private equity sponsors work closely with other shareholders prior to a planned exit to ensure alignment and prevent the formal exercise of such rights.
IPOs remain a strategic exit route in Germany, though their success is closely tied to prevailing market conditions and timing. Transactions typically involve a lock-up period of six to twelve months to stabilise trading post-listing.
Although formal relationship agreements are rare, private equity sponsors frequently retain board seats post-IPO and may agree with other significant shareholders on certain veto rights, particularly where they remain significant minority shareholders. To build market credibility and demand, cornerstone or anchor investors are often secured pre-IPO. While institutional investors remain the primary driver of IPO demand, retail investor participation has gained importance in recent deals, albeit still representing a relatively small portion of overall deal size. Offer structures usually include a mix of primary shares (company capital raise) and secondary shares (sponsor sell-down).
While IPO windows can be difficult to predict, private equity sponsors continue to prepare companies for listings as part of a dual- or triple-track strategy where appropriate.
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The transaction market in 2026 reflects the complex and evolving geopolitical landscape and is shaped by the macro-economic developments resulting therefrom. Following a strong year in 2025, and a promising start to Q1 2026, the outbreak of the US–Iran war at the end of February 2026 slowed down market momentum, as rising energy prices, impacts on global supply chains resulting from the closure of the Strait of Hormuz as well as an increase of the interest rates by the European Central Bank increased market uncertainties. In anticipation of an end to these geopolitical factors, market actors are currently delaying transactions, so it is expected that the strong market activity seen in Q1 2026 will be revived towards the end of the year.
Large-Cap Outperforms
Large-cap transactions remain the driving force in the private equity market. With over EUR100 billion in aggregated deal values in H1 2026, the German M&A market has reached record-breaking numbers. On the other hand, the overall number of deals is down by 10% compared to H2 2025. These numbers are largely due to mega-deals, which in most cases involved a strategic investor on the one side and a sponsor on the other. Examples include the EUR30 billion merger of TK Elevators with Kone, the EUR7.4 billion sale of Everllence to Bain Capital, and the EUR4 billion carve-out and subsequent sale of Contitech to Lone Star. Large sponsor-to-sponsor transactions were the exception in 2026, with CVC’s minority sale of Syntegon to Apollo being the only one valued at more than EUR1 billion.
These valuations demonstrate that Germany continues to be a key destination for private equity investors, particularly those interested in family- and founder-owned businesses, as well as carve-outs from industrial conglomerates. Especially the current challenges the German automotive industry is facing present various opportunities for sponsors to invest in established industrial assets with proven cash-generation. This also represents the current strategic shift towards AI-resilient companies as formerly highly sought-after sectors (such as, eg, consultancy or software-enabled services) face mounting pressure due to the wide range of AI implementations.
This historic high in deal values does not come without fragility. The market faces continuous economic volatility and geopolitical uncertainty. Despite temporary cool-off periods, the ongoing US–Iran war and its impact on global supply chains increase these uncertainties and put pressure on the global economy. This conflict has also led to a significant increase in energy prices, resulting in higher inflation and prompting the ECB to raise interest rates for the first time since 2023. Additionally, the ongoing global trade tensions resulting from the tariffs implemented by the US government in 2025 continue to have a significant impact on market activity. However, in July 2026, the EU and the USA agreed a new tariff deal under which imports to the EU remain tariff-free while 15% tariffs are imposed on most EU exports. This deal fosters greater market confidence, as market participants are now able to plan around predictable tariffs.
In response to these geopolitical factors, private equity investors in Germany continue to focus towards domestically oriented businesses and sectors with limited vulnerability to cross-border trade disruptions and limited exposure to supply chains that are easily affected by the rising geopolitical tensions.
Private equity sponsors further continue to favour sectors such as healthcare, industrial automation and defence. These areas are less affected by tariff regimes and/or AI disruption and align more closely with digitalisation trends. Meanwhile, the surge in protectionist policies worldwide in connection with the growing geopolitical tensions deepen challenges, such as raising compliance costs, elevated import duties and vulnerable supply chains.
These factors are prompting dealmakers to embed trade and geopolitical risk considerations more deeply into their investment strategies and diligence processes. Consequently, heightened scrutiny around supply-chain resilience has extended deal timelines and accelerated the shift towards alternative financing structures such as private credit, co-investments and earn-outs, in order to manage valuation discrepancies and increase flexibility.
Fundraising Challenges Remain, Redefining General Partner Strategy
Fundraising conditions remain demanding in 2026. Limited Partners (LPs) continue to require more differentiated strategies, demonstrable operational value creation and genuine ESG alignment before committing fresh capital. As a result, primarily sponsors with a proven track record or clear thematic expertise are succeeding in securing commitments, while especially General Partners (GPs) trying to close a newly established fund continue to struggle. Besides the mentioned macroeconomic instability, the constrained fundraising environment is also largely influenced by a persistent liquidity crunch among limited partners. Distributions as a percentage of NAV continue to be low, leaving LPs with minimal recycled capital to reinvest. This situation has created a vicious cycle: fewer or lower priced exits (in particular in the software space as a result of the generally high AI exposure) in recent years have reduced liquidity for LPs to invest, which in turn delays capital commitments to new funds and forces GPs to extend their holding periods. However, while fundraising challenges exist, many sponsors are able to utilise the substantial arsenal of dry powder, some of which dates back to as early as 2020.
With asset valuations still considered elevated in many sectors, LPs are questioning the urgency to re-up. Additionally, short-term performance metrics remain muted, as many exits were delayed due to geopolitical (or technological) uncertainties and/or valuation mismatches.
In response, GPs have turned to adaptive fundraising strategies. Fee discounts for anchor investors, expanded access to co-investment opportunities, and customised liquidity options have become standard in competitive fundraising processes. The present trend of continuation vehicles and fund-to-fund transactions has accelerated, enabling GPs to offer liquidity to existing LPs while redeploying capital into familiar assets.
Further, many sponsors seek to refinance and recapitalise their assets as an alternative to an exit to bridge the slow-down in exit activities. Additionally, structured minority deals in the German market have become more prevalent where a sponsor sells a minority stake in an asset without relinquishing its control. These deals de-risk the selling sponsor’s position ahead of a full exit and provide existing limited partners with partial liquidity while allowing the asset additional time to mature.
Another shift is structural: GPs are increasingly courting private wealth and non-institutional capital through semi-liquid funds, open-ended vehicles, and wealth management partnerships. This diversification is not only compensating for institutional pullback but also transforming capital formation models.
As a result, the fund landscape transforms. The total number of funds has declined. Investors are concentrating capital with large, established managers that offer proven track records or a sharply differentiated strategy. Scale, brand and specialist expertise are becoming essential to fundraising success.
Valuation Gap Has Not Yet Disappeared
Throughout 2025, numerous deal processes either stalled or collapsed entirely due to persistent mismatches in valuation expectations. Sellers (still) remained anchored to pre-2022 price benchmarks while buyers adjusted for increased financing costs, geopolitical risk and lower earnings baselines. This led to an increase in structured deals – such as earn-outs, vendor rollovers and minority stakes designed to defer valuation risk and bridge the pricing gap.
Conditions have shown only limited improvement since. While stabilising inflation rates supported buyer sentiment in the beginning of 2026, the renewed rise in inflation and ECB rate increases following the outbreak of the US–Iran war have reintroduced caution. However, long holding periods as well as elevated dry powder levels have put pressure on both sell-side and buy-side sponsors, while gradual alignment with macro-economic conditions has begun to support renewed market activity.
Although selective premium pricing for assets with clear value creation is prevalent, the valuation gap remains especially pronounced in Europe. In sectors such as AI, where a capability-based premium is justified by proprietary technology or IP, this often clashes with more conservative buyer models and stringent due diligence requirements. In Germany and the EU, dealmakers now evaluate valuation on readiness for monetisation, scalability and regulatory resilience, particularly in light of frameworks like the EU AI Act.
Large-Cap in Focus as Mid-Cap Cools
Deal activity in 2026 is defined less by volume than by strategic intent. In the first half of 2025, deal activity was led by a consistent upward trend in mid-cap transactions. These deals typically offer more reasonable valuations, lower regulatory scrutiny, and significant room for operational improvement, especially when enhanced through digital and AI tools. Since H2 2025, large-cap transactions have dominated the landscape, with a small number of transactions leading to record-breaking deal values, a trend that has especially become apparent starting 2026.
Across the board, current deal types reflect a thematic and tactical approach. Current trends include:
Financing Access
Availability of traditional senior debt has increased for these deal sizes; however, private credit providers have become firmly established as an alternative financing source in the market space during the recent years of scarcity in traditional financing. For years, the asset class – especially direct lending – benefited from traditional banks retreating from the leveraged lending space. Thus, while banks and syndicated lenders regained market share, we do not expect private credit providers to disappear.
To the contrary, with the recent interest rate hikes by the ECB, we expect that the macroeconomic environment has, again, become more attractive for private credit providers, as traditional banks typically reduce their lending volumes during periods of rising rates (which is still to be seen). Conversely, an increase in interest rates puts further pressure on portfolio companies as their debt servicing costs increase. As many portfolio companies, additionally, are currently facing liquidity pressure, many sponsors turn to private debt financing and, in particular, PIK structures to preserve cash. These financing structures increase overall indebtedness and may act as an amplifier of already existing default risk.
Valuation Alignment
Unlike in large-cap deals, buyer and seller expectations in the mid-cap space remain closer, as valuations are based more on operational fundamentals. Founders and family-owned businesses typically approach pricing more pragmatically than institutional sellers.
Mid Cap Transactions on the Sidelines
Meanwhile, mid-cap transactions have yet to make a significant comeback in 2026. In particular, AI exposure, especially for SaaS-companies or similar business models which are particularly frequent in the mid-cap space, poses a substantial risk, delays exits (especially in software businesses) and prevents new investments.
Portfolio Work Remains a Strategic Priority
Portfolio value creation remains a central priority in 2026. With financing costs again elevated and acquirers unwilling to pay pre-2022 valuation multiples, GPs are under pressure to position portfolio companies for credible, high-multiple exits. This increasingly involves not just EBITDA improvement but also alignment with ESG, regulatory and compliance expectations – factors that remain deal-critical. A major factor to consider is the integration of AI, big data and digital tools into portfolio management. These technologies are becoming core to creating scalable, tech-enabled, ESG-aligned businesses that will command stronger multiples in future exits.
AI and Technology
AI has become embedded across the private equity value chain, reshaping how firms source deals, assess risks and drive portfolio performance. AI implementation is no longer limited to IT companies, but is now seen across the entire portfolio and in all industries.
Value creation is increasingly tied to how effectively firms implement and scale AI across their holdings. This includes integrating AI directly into the operations of their portfolio companies, as well as using it for predictive sales models, dynamic pricing, automated supply chains and workforce planning, and automated ESG reporting.
Investment Focus
Firms are targeting AI-native and AI-enabled businesses, particularly in sectors like healthcare tech, industrial automation and defence. These businesses typically command higher valuations but require sophisticated integration and regulatory navigation. For many GPs, this is a long-term thematic bet on the infrastructure layer of the future economy.
On the other hand, business models that are heavily challenged (not primarily improved – eg, through efficiency gains) by sophisticated AI tools (in particular the software, consulting and services sectors) are becoming less attractive for sponsors. While these business models have not become replaceable or superfluous (yet), the uncertain longevity of such businesses repels sponsors to invest and puts increasing pressure on sponsors who are trying to divest such businesses from their portfolio.
Deal Sourcing and Due Diligence
AI is transforming front-end deal flow, enabling faster, data-driven sourcing and deeper insights during due diligence.
New Legal, IP and Compliance Risks
AI-focused deals introduce new legal complexities around IP, data protection and data ownership, algorithm transparency and compliance. Regulatory frameworks such as the EU AI Act are rapidly evolving, creating uncertainty around compliance. For cross-border transactions, private equity legal teams must now assess not just target performance, but also model transparency, data sovereignty and auditability.
Regulations
Regulation – especially with respect to antitrust and foreign investment reviews (FDI) – continues to be crucial to deal planning for GPs, LPs and transaction counsel alike. Germany remains one of the strictest jurisdictions, particularly in healthcare, AI and digital infrastructure. Below-threshold deals are increasingly scrutinised, leading to longer review periods and more engagement with regulators.
A recently proposed increase of relevant thresholds to merger control filings by up to 50% compared to the current thresholds may reduce the requirement to undergo such filing procedures. It remains to be seen, however, if and to what extent the proposed increase will actually make it into statutory law.
The Foreign Subsidies Regulation (FSR) is also gaining relevance. While private equity firms rarely receive direct subsidies, capital originating from non-EU sovereign wealth funds or development banks may fall within the scope, triggering disclosure obligations even in indirect cases. Given the ambiguity of definitions and (growing, but still) limited precedent, many firms now file precautionarily in large- and even larger mid-cap transactions.
More Buyer-Friendly SPAs
In 2026, SPA drafting has become two-faced: While sellers of highly attractive investment opportunities in the mid-cap as well as the large-cap sector continue to be able to dictate seller-friendly terms and conditions, the SPAs for less prominent targets continue to shift towards buyer-favourable terms.
As a result, a shift away from locked-box purchase price models could be observed, with closing accounts and working capital adjustments becoming more common again, allowing buyers to capture value changes between signing and closing. Specifically, closing accounts are particularly preferred in carve-out scenarios, and the growing trend towards corporate carve-outs in the past year has further contributed to their resurgence in the German market. This trend is further driven by increased geopolitical uncertainties, making valuation as of closing a preferred pricing mechanism in exposed industries.
While still generally rare in the German market, Material Adverse Change (MAC) clauses (where used) are becoming more precise and are often tailored to sector-specific risks, such as regulatory changes relating to AI, cyber events or supply chain disruptions. Consistent with expectations, the use of, and perceived need for, a MAC clause is directly correlated with the level of economic and political uncertainty in the market.
Buyers are also placing greater value on comprehensive representations and warranties, supported by thorough disclosure schedules. Meanwhile, W&I insurance remains prevalent in European private M&A, particularly in mid- and large-cap deals. However, buyers are encountering narrower coverage and more exclusions, particularly in deals involving emerging technologies or heightened environmental, social and governance (ESG) exposure.
Overall, legal structuring in SPAs reflects a market environment where buyers are increasingly risk-aware and assertive, leveraging precise covenants, broader conditionality and tailored indemnity regimes to manage valuation gaps, operational volatility and regulatory uncertainty.
Summary
2026 marks a continued solid recovery that began in 2025, with deal values reaching pre-2022 levels. Recently, this is mainly driven by a resurgence of the large-cap sector, while mid-market activity has slowed down a bit. Macro- and geopolitical uncertainties continue to define the deal landscape. Trade conflicts, surging energy prices and increased interest rates have put more pressure on the private equity market, which is further compounded by difficulties in fundraising, liquidity shortages in portfolio companies and a scarcity of targets that guarantee true value creation.
Cross-border activity is being reassessed, with a clear shift towards sectors and targets that are less vulnerable to global supply chain risks and trade disruptions. Legal and regulatory scrutiny has intensified, particularly around AI, foreign investment control and ESG compliance, requiring investors to conduct more thorough due diligence and adopt more sophisticated structuring for every transaction.
Despite these challenges, the outlook for H2 2026 and 2027 is overall positive. Upon resolution of the current conflicts in the Middle East and implementation of the new EU-US trade deal, it is expected that the deal activity of Q1 2026 will resume and the transactions that were put on hold due to these challenges will be carried out in the following months. Mid-market transaction activity in particular is expected to rebound, as sponsors face growing pressure to exit while continuing to sit on substantial amounts of dry powder.
An der Welle 4
60322 Frankfurt am Main
Germany
+49 69 793020
+49 69 79302222
info@willkie.com www.willkie.com