There is a sense of cautious optimism in the market compared with 12 months ago, as markets respond to what appears to be more economic stability in the UK. Throughout 2023 the M&A landscape was blighted by worsening economic sentiment, geopolitical uncertainty, stubbornly high interest rates and complex debt markets. Deal volumes were substantially down compared with the highs of 2021 and 2022 (although interestingly showed a slight uptick when compared with 2018 or 2019).
As we move into 2024 there are signs the market is picking up and the authors are seeing more business owners exploring exit options and timing.
Elongated Process Timing
Target companies were subject to much higher scrutiny through diligence and signs of weaker trading. This often resulted in process timetables stalling, or even in transactions being aborted.
Bolt-ons As a Lower-Risk Option
Of deals completed in 2023, a much higher proportion were bolt-ons to existing private equity platforms. These deals offered investors the opportunity to create value but with a lower risk profile to new platform deals.
Valuation Gap Between Buyers and Sellers
Coming off the M&A highs of 2021 and 2022, sellers often came to market with high price expectations. Worsening economic sentiment, complex debt markets and often weakening trading performance meant buyers could not justify maintaining premium valuations leading to unbridgeable gaps that further slowed deal completions.
It is possible to conduct business in the UK either by simply establishing a commercial presence (which is likely to require registration as a branch and the filing of accounts), or by establishing a UK legal entity such as a limited company or a limited liability partnership.
If an entrepreneur or business intends to conduct substantial operations in the UK, it is typical to establish a separate legal entity. This allows the business to ring-fence the assets and liabilities of its UK operations, to raise finance and grant security specific to the UK operations, and (if desired) to partner with other equity investors in the UK business.
The most common type of entity used by start-ups in the UK is the private limited company. This offers the advantage of limited liability for the shareholders and the ring-fencing benefits outlined in 2.1 Establishing a New Company, without the additional governance, minimum capital, and capital maintenance requirements which are imposed on public limited companies.
However, the choice of entity will depend on the specific circumstances of the business, such as the sector, number of owners or the desired tax treatment. For example, in some sectors like professional services, a partnership is a more common business form.
In the UK, early-stage financing for start-ups can come from a variety of sources including grants, “friends and family” or angel investors, family offices, early-stage venture capital funds, government-sponsored funds and crowdfunding.
The documentation involved will vary depending on the source of the funding. For example, if the funding is to come from a venture capital investor or angel investor, the documentation will typically include a Term Sheet, Investment Agreement (which may be a Convertible Loan, a SAFE, an Advance Subscription Agreement, or a Subscription Agreement) and a Shareholders’ Agreement.
In the UK, funding for start-ups and scale-ups is typically provided by growth-focused private venture capital firms. There is a mature VC market in the UK and promising businesses are generally able to obtain expressions of interest from potential investors. The VC firms active in the UK are both domestic and foreign.
The British Venture Capital Association (BVCA) has developed a set of model documents that are commonly used by venture capital firms and start-ups in the UK. These documents include a Subscription Agreement, Shareholders’ Agreement and Articles of Association.
UK businesses will typically stay in the same corporate form throughout their period of private ownership.
If a UK business is established as a private limited company or a limited liability partnership and wishes to have securities admitted to trading on a capital market, it will need to first re-register as a public limited company (or incorporate a new parent company as a public limited company).
A UK public limited company is subject to additional governance, minimum capital, and capital maintenance rules, in addition to the requirements of the relevant securities regulator and stock exchange.
The decision between an IPO, a sale, or a dual track process depends in part on the sector in which the business operates.
For example, some businesses in the UK life sciences sector have pursued a listing on the basis that it can be more challenging for private equity to value pre-revenue life sciences businesses.
UK technology businesses have often considered a US IPO on Nasdaq, given the high liquidity and strong valuations which have been available on that market. Conversely, businesses in other sectors have tended to prefer a sale process given the relative speed of execution and lighter regulatory/publicity requirements. Dual-track processes are common where an IPO is a realistic outcome for the business in question.
In May 2023, the UK’s securities regulatory (the Financial Conduct Authority) launched a public consultation on the simplification and de-regulation of the UK’s listing regime. The proposed changes include the removal of some requirements for shareholder approval for significant transactions, the replacement of the financial track record eligibility requirements with a disclosure-based regime, and a significant de-regulation in relation to dual share classes. The objective of the proposed changes is to improve the attractiveness of the UK as a listing venue.
Historically, UK-headquartered companies pursued a listing on the UK’s stock market. This remains the case, although many technology companies have considered an overseas listing (particularly on Nasdaq). This is for a variety of reasons, including the regulatory burden, liquidity, and tax implications. It remains to be seen to what extent the outcomes of the FCA’s consultation will persuade more businesses to list in the UK.
The impact of choosing to list on a foreign exchange will depend on the rules of the non-UK exchange. As noted, it is not unusual for UK companies to pursue an overseas listing.
The year 2023 definitely saw an increase in bilateral negotiations or tight auction processes where sellers favoured certainty and speed of execution. This was particularly true for owners looking to carve out non-core assets. Notwithstanding this, wider auctions still played a role in process strategy depending on the characteristics of the asset and desire of shareholders to prioritise price discovery.
It is common to structure an exit either as the sale of the entire company, or the sale of a controlling interest. The outcome will depend on the valuation achieved in the sale process, and also on the length of time for which the VCs have held their investment in the company: some early-stage investors need to hold their investment for a minimum period of time in order to preserve valuable tax reliefs. Conversely, VCs which have held their investments for a significant period will typically want to sell out in order to return capital to their LPs.
This depends on the type of buyer and the nature of the target (and its sellers).
PE buyers typically use a combination of cash and loan notes, with the selling management rolling over a significant proportion of their proceeds into equity in the BidCo as a future performance incentive. Corporate buyers may pay all cash or a combination of cash and publicly traded equity. Recommended public takeovers/mergers are often all-equity transactions.
On a sale, all shareholders will be expected to give warranties as to their capacity and title to the shares that they are selling.
Founder shareholders and selling management will be expected to give a set of business and tax warranties in relation to the business and its activities. These warranties will be subject to certain limitations, including a total liability cap and time limits for bringing claims.
Financial investors such as VCs will usually only give the title/capacity warranties.
Warranty and indemnity (W&I) insurance is common for transactions in the UK. The policies are usually written in the name of the buyer, although the cost of the premium is a matter for negotiation. A W&I policy covers most claims under the business and tax warranties, although the policies are subject to important exclusions – for example, any known risks will be excluded, as will some latent issues like environmental contamination and transfer pricing, and issues which the buyer has not fully diligenced itself.
The use of an escrow or holdback is becoming increasingly uncommon in the UK due to the popularity of W&I insurance. Buyers may seek to hold back funds in relation to indemnities for specific risks identified in the business through due diligence (which are known risks, which are not typically covered by W&I insurance).
Spin-offs are becoming increasingly common in the UK, particularly given the recent challenges in the equity markets and the resulting need to generate cash (including as a means of supporting shareholder value).
In the UK, spin-offs can be structured as a tax-free transaction at the corporate and shareholder level. The key requirements include (but are not limited to) that the spin-off:
Spin-offs can be tax free if the applicable statutory conditions are met. These may differ depending upon the desired transaction structure and therefore must be considered on a case-by-case basis.
A spin-off can be immediately followed by a business combination. The key requirements are that:
In the UK, a spin-off can take between 3 and 12 months but the timings vary depending on the transaction and the number of questions asked by HMRC. The parties would need to obtain clearance from the tax authority and this can typically take up to three months.
The implications of stake-building in a UK public company are complex. Potential bidders should consider them very carefully in the context of overall deal timing and strategy.
Although the acquisition of a pre-offer stake may allow a bidder to purchase shares in the target at a lower (ie, pre-announcement) price, the pre-built stake will not count towards the 90% “squeeze-out” threshold – which makes it mathematically harder to acquire 100% control of the target.
Stake-building may, depending on timing, also have an impact on the terms of the subsequent offer by imposing a minimum level of consideration, being the highest price paid by the bidder for the target’s shares within a specified period before the offer.
Under the Financial Conduct Authority’s Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules (DTR 5), a person is required to notify an issuer if the percentage of voting rights they hold in the issuer reaches, exceeds or falls below 3% or any whole percentage point above 3%.
If the target publicly names (or is required to name) the bidder is subject to a 28 day “put up or shut up” deadline within which it must announce a firm intention to make an offer, or confirm publicly that it does not intend to make an offer.
Potential bidders should also carefully consider the UK’s rules on insider dealing and market abuse.
The mandatory offer threshold in the UK is 30% or more of the voting rights (or an increase in voting rights, if the bidder already has 30% or more).
In the UK, the typical transaction structures for the acquisition of a public company are a takeover offer or a scheme of arrangement.
A takeover offer is a contractual offer by the bidder to the target company’s shareholders.
A scheme of arrangement is a court-approved procedure which, if approved by the requisite majority of the target’s shareholders, binds all of the target’s shareholders. The requisite majority is a majority in number representing 75% in value of the members of each “class” of the target’s shareholders.
Given that the minimum acceptance condition for an offer is 50% plus one share, whereas the approval threshold for a scheme is a majority in number representing 75%, an offer is typically an easier means of acquiring majority control of a target. However, given that the “squeeze-out” threshold in the UK is 90% (not counting any stake-built shares), a scheme is normally an easier means of acquiring 100% control.
A scheme of arrangement is a process which is run by the target, so a hostile scheme is difficult to achieve in practice. Accordingly, schemes are typically only used on recommended takeovers.
A true “merger” of two companies is not possible under UK company law. When a transaction is described as a merger, it is usually referring to an all-equity acquisition by one of the aforementioned structures.
A bidder is able to offer cash consideration, securities or both.
The majority of recent deals have been all-cash, but the transaction structure will depend on a range of factors, including the performance of the target and the financial resources of the bidder.
The Takeover Code imposes requirements on the categories of conditions which can be included in a takeover offer, and on the circumstances in which they can be invoked.
A takeover is typically conditional on matters including:
A bidder can only invoke regulatory or protective conditions with the consent of the UK’s Takeover Panel, and only in narrowly-defined circumstances.
A UK takeover does not typically involve a transaction agreement. The bidder will publish an offer document addressed to the target’s shareholders and, on a scheme of arrangement (which, as noted, will normally be a recommended transaction), the target will send a Scheme Document to its shareholders and ask the court to convene a meeting at which the target’s shareholders will vote on the scheme.
The consent of the UK Takeover Panel is required for the target to enter into commitments to the bidder, such as an inducement fee or break fee. The Takeover Panel will not normally grant consent, except in limited circumstances such as where the bidder is a “white knight”, where an auction is being run for the target, or where the target is in serious financial distress.
It is not customary for any contractual representations, warranties or indemnities to be given on a UK public takeover.
For a contractual takeover offer in the UK, the holders of shares representing more than 50% of the target company’s voting share capital must approve the offer in order for the offer to be unconditional as to acceptances.
Where a takeover is structured as a scheme of arrangement, the proposed arrangement will require the approval of shareholders who constitute a majority in number of each class of shareholders voting on the proposal and who also represent the holders of shares carrying at least 75% in number of those shares which are voted.
For a contractual takeover offer in the UK, the bidder can compulsorily acquire the shares of any shareholders who have not accepter the offer for their shares, if the bidder has acquired at least 90% of the shares to which the offer relates and 90% of the voting rights of the target company. These thresholds will not take into account any shares previously held by the bidder.
Where a takeover is structured as a scheme of arrangement, and the scheme has become effective following approval by the court, the acquirer will acquire the shares of all shareholders.
It is the buyer itself which is the bidder and which makes the offer.
Where the offer is for cash or includes an element of cash, the bidder’s financial adviser is required to provide a “cash confirmation” to the effect that the bidder has sufficient funds to satisfy the offer in full. The bidder’s financial adviser will take its own legal advice in relation to the cash confirmation process, to ensure that it has conducted appropriate diligence on the bidder’s financial position.
The Takeover Code does not permit the offer being conditional on the bidder obtaining financing, except in exceptional circumstances.
Under the Takeover Code, there is a general prohibition on the target entering into any “offer-related arrangements” with the bidder when an offer is reasonably in contemplation or during an offer period. This does not cover confidentiality commitments or non-solicit provisions.
The general prohibition extends to break fees except where:
If a bidder cannot obtain 100% ownership of a target, the bidder’s governance rights will depend on its holding of the target’s voting shares and on whether the target remains listed.
For example, a holding of more than 50% of the target’s voting rights allows a shareholder to replace the company’s board of directors as a matter of company law. However, if the target remains listed, the bidder would need to sign a “Relationship Agreement” which will proscribe the level of control available to the shareholder.
At 75%, the bidder is able to change the target company’s constitution and delist the target. This removes the requirement for a Relationship Agreement. However, the bidder (and the target’s new board) will need to take account of the interests of the minority shareholders, which have a degree of minority protection under UK company law.
The bidder may seek irrevocable undertakings from major shareholders of the target and any directors who hold shares to accept the takeover offer even if a higher offer emerges.
The Takeover Code provides strict guidelines related to approaching any individual shareholder of the target company, and the Panel should be consulted in advance.
An offer does not itself need to be pre-approved by the Takeover Panel or the relevant stock exchange. However, the Panel’s consent may be required for certain aspects of the proposed bid and so communication will normally be required with the Panel. A copy of the offer document along with a checklist confirming compliance with the Code must be sent to the Panel prior to it being published.
The timetable for any offer is subject to the timing requirements prescribed by the Takeover Code. Where a competing offer is announced, and both offers are proceeding by way of contractual takeover, the two bids will be subject to the same timetable. In these circumstances, either bidder may elect to shorten the timetable for its own offer by making an acceleration statement and setting an earlier date by which all conditions must be satisfied and the offer becomes unconditional.
In the UK, the takeover offer can be extended if it cannot be completed because regulatory/antitrust approvals are not obtained prior to the expiry of the offer period. The terms of the extension will be set by the acquirer, but they must be reasonable and agreed with the Panel.
In the UK, setting up and starting to operate a new company in certain sections of the technology industry is subject to specific regulations. The regulatory bodies involved and the time it takes to obtain the necessary permits and approvals will vary depending on the specific sector. Some of the sectors which are subject to regulation are:
The process of obtaining authorisation or gaining the appropriate licence from these bodies can take a number of months.
The primary regulator for public M&A transactions in the UK is the Takeover Panel. The Takeover Panel is an independent body whose main functions are to issue and administer the Takeover Code and to supervise and regulate takeovers and other matters to which the Code applies.
A public offer will also require interaction with the Financial Conduct Authority, including in relation to the protection and disclosure of price sensitive information, the disclosure of any stake-building or other acquisitions of shares in the target, the approval and publication of any public offer documentation, and in relation to the de-listing of the target.
The principal legislation in relation to foreign direct investment in the UK is the National Security and Investment Act 2021 (NSIA). The NSIA, which came into force on 4 January 2022, created a mandatory and suspensory regime for transactions in particular sectors. The regime is investor agnostic (UK investors can trigger the regime as well as non-UK investors) and the regime has extra-territorial reach if there is sufficient nexus to the UK.
There are 17 specified sectors. These are set out in the National Security and Investment Act 2021 (Notifiable Acquisition) (Specification of Qualifying Entities) Regulations 2021. In relation to technology, the regulations cover, amongst others, sectors including artificial intelligence, cryptographic authentication, and certain software and other technologies.
Even if a transaction is outside one of the 17 specified sectors, a filing may still be advisable (but not mandatory) if there is a potential risk to the UK’s national security.
Particular sectors are subject to sector-specific regulation of M&A activity.
The UK places controls on trade in certain types of strategic goods, software and technology. These include:
The key primary legislation governing export controls is the Export Control Act 2002 (ECA 2002), which sets out the powers to impose all types of export controls. The powers in the ECA 2002 have been used to make two key sets of regulations imposing export controls:
In addition to the domestic legislation above, the UK has also retained direct EU legislation imposing export controls.
The current UK merger control regime was introduced by the Enterprise Act 2002. There is no requirement to notify a merger in advance for clearance, but the fact that a merger has not been notified to the CMA does not mean that the CMA will not review it. The CMA often investigates mergers on its own initiative or following a complaint from a third party. The CMA will have jurisdiction over a transaction if:
In the UK, acquirers will be primarily concerned with the following labour law regulations:
A works council is not required in the UK, however, some industries will have recognised Trade Unions.
The UK does not operate any currency control regulation and there is no requirement for central bank approval for a M&A transaction.
The implementation of the NSIA has had a significant impact on UK M&A. The NSIA aims to safeguard national security by providing the UK government with powers to scrutinise and intervene in a broad range of transactions – not only M&A deals but also minority investments, acquisitions of assets, and business reorganisations. For any business operating in the relevant sectors of the economy, care will need to be taken to ensure the requirements of the NSIA are properly considered. The penalty for failing to do so is severe – the underlying transaction will be considered void.
In terms of recent transactions, Microsoft announced the acquisition of Activision Blizzard on 13 October 2023, for USD68.7 billion in an all-cash transaction. The CMA blocked the deal on merger control grounds, and only permitted the deal to proceed on appeal. This followed Microsoft’s agreement to licence the cloud streaming rights outside the European Economic Area for all of Activision’s games to Ubisoft Entertainment, a rival games publisher.
The main constraints on the level of due diligence carried out are:
There are a number of overlapping laws and regulations which govern the use of personal data in the UK, which may prevent a company from sharing certain information with third parties. The list includes the following:
The UK privacy Law is also supplemented by a range of guidance from the Information Commissioner’s Office (ICO) and other parties.
A public announcement will need to be made:
A prospectus must be issued whenever there is either an offer of transferable securities to the public in the UK or a request for the admission to trading of transferable securities on a UK regulated market. This is subject to limited exemptions.
Where a bidder is a UK-incorporated company and its shares are admitted to trading on a UK regulated market or on AIM or AQSE Growth Market, it will need to provide:
Where the bidder is other than a company referred to above, it will need to provide such other information at the Panel shall determine.
Parties are required to file copies of the transaction documents with the Takeover Panel and the Financial Conduct Authority, depending on the structure of the transaction.
The directors are required to meet their general duties of directors under the Companies Act 2006.
There are seven general directors’ duties, as follows:
These duties are owed to the company of which they are a director. In certain circumstances, shareholders may bring a “derivative claim” against a director on behalf of the company for breach of these duties.
The Takeover Code sets out a number of further responsibilities for the directors in respect of the conduct of offers including an obligation to ensure equal and fair treatment of all shareholders and an obligation to obtain competent independent advice.
The directors should also have regard to the company’s obligations in respect of laws governing market abuse and insider dealing.
It is common for boards of directors to establish special or ad hoc committees in business combinations. These committees are often composed of independent directors who do not have any conflicts of interest. The purpose of these committees is to provide independent oversight of the business combination and to ensure that the interests of all shareholders are protected.
The board of directors must give a recommendation at to the action that the shareholders should take in respect of an offer.
The board may be able to negotiate with the bidder prior to receipt of a formal offer but will at all times need to have due regard to their directors’ duties as well as ensuring compliance with the requirements of the Takeover Code. This includes the requirement for them to act in the interests of the target as a whole and not deny the shareholders the opportunity to decide on the merits of the bid.
A board may consider defence strategies in the fact of a hostile bid but again will be constrained by the restriction on it from taking any action that may result in the frustration of any offer.
On a takeover, the directors are obliged to seek independent advice as to whether the financial terms of the offer are fair and reasonable and must make the substance of that advice known to shareholders.
It is common for directors also to receive independent legal and accounting advice.
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contactus@kpmg.co.uk www.kpmg.com/uk/en/home.htmlThis article sets out the causes and features of current M&A trends in the technology, media and telecommunications (TMT) market, drawing from the authors’ experience as well as from news sources and specialised industry reports. As a conclusion, it also warns of possible implications.
Downward Trend in M&A Activity
While there has been a decline in recent M&A activity within the TMT sector, this is still expected to be an attractive area for investment and M&A in the medium and long term. The rise of digitalisation, particularly driven by emerging technologies such as artificial intelligence (AI) and the Internet of Things (IoT), is crucial for businesses to adapt and innovate in response to dynamic market conditions.
The recent reduction in tech valuations and global deal activity seems to be largely due to:
Current macroeconomic factors and trends have impacted on deals across sectors in different ways, though the TMT sector remains at the top of the M&A market. This is consistent with the authors’ own experience at Preiskel & Co. M&A activity is still being seen in the TMT sector, where the firm’s work covers both national and international transactions, often with no direct connection to the UK.
TMT firms have also made prominent efforts to address climate change and promote sustainability. The deployment of low-Earth orbit (LEO) satellites persists, albeit with apprehensions about potential collisions. In higher orbits, radiation-resistant microchips are transforming the realm of space technology. Additionally, virtual production methods are becoming a key element both in contemporary blockbuster films and in the emerging concept of the metaverse, shaping the future of entertainment and digital experiences.
Current TMT M&A Market Trends
In the short term, TMT M&A has faced challenges similar to those affecting global deal making, such as:
These factors have affected TMT deal volumes, deal structures and values in the first half of 2023, with expectations of a similar trend in the last quarter. However, the authors remain optimistic that current valuations will lead to deal opportunities in the near future. Adopting a bold M&A strategy in a volatile post-pandemic era is becoming more of a necessity, and the role of CEOs in steering their companies towards success has never been more challenging.
Smaller Deal Values
The prevailing higher-interest-rate environment has sparked a heightened importance on smaller-scale deals. The authors are seeing greater investor caution, with acquirers opting for more modest transactions.
Evolution of Deal Structures
The prevailing uncertainty concerning the cost and availability of capital, along with the broader macroeconomic outlook, is likely to prompt deal makers to exercise caution when determining valuations. Strategic buyers seeking advantageous deals should anticipate heightened competition from financial buyers as the year progresses.
Some buyers, particularly financial buyers, are seeking structural alternatives to upfront cash payments. The authors are increasingly seeing buyers offering equity consideration and cumbersome earn-out models, and proposing rollover structures. Founders may not see any immediate benefit in these structures, but they are more aligned with the buyers and are incentivised to ensure continued success post-completion of an M&A deal.
Focus on ESG
Companies are expected to focus more on ESG in their M&A decisions, as there is a lot of “dry powder” targeting impact investments. This will drive M&A by financial sponsors in businesses with strong ESG credentials.
Prolonged Deal Timeframes
The authors are seeing M&A deals taking longer to complete than in the past, which is attributable to the cautious approach to risk management being taken by acquirers in the current market. Increased regulatory scrutiny has also enhanced execution risk and deal timelines.
Digital Transformation
Businesses are realising the need to digitalise or adopt technological solutions to keep pace in the current market. Whether they are acquiring or being acquired, having robust digital capabilities will be a strategic advantage.
Private Equity Dominance
Private equity sponsors, which often favour tech businesses, were keen to spend some of their built-up “dry powder” in the sector. The trend of private equity in the M&A landscape is poised to continue well into 2024 and is likely to persist, shaping the M&A landscape in the years to come.
Despite global challenges, such as capital limitations and geopolitical tensions affecting M&A across various sectors, the TMT sector is expected to reach healthier levels of deal activity in the medium to long term. There are opportunities for companies with robust financial positions to stand out by:
Companies facing capital constraints may nevertheless encounter more significant hurdles, and private equity firms are likely to continue to be drawn to the TMT sector, enticed by its high-margin business models and robust cash flows.
Continued M&A activity can lead to market consolidation, reducing the number of players in the TMT sector, which in turn can affect competition and potentially limit consumer choice. While M&A can bring resources and capabilities together, it can also inadvertently stifle innovation and creativity if not managed effectively. Integration challenges must accordingly be addressed to ensure continued development of cutting-edge technologies and content.
Economic and Regulatory Situation in the UK
According to a recent KPMG report, the UK economy is likely to avoid a recession due to several factors:
However, economic growth is expected to remain weak compared to historical standards; and on the downside, there are more risks.
Inflation is decreasing from its peak, but is doing so more slowly than what energy price movements suggest. Core inflation, services price inflation and wage growth are all indicating persistent pressure on prices.
Households and businesses have similarly been adjusting to higher prices and interest rates by reducing consumption and investment. Even though inflation is expected to continue falling in the short term, borrowing costs are likely to stay elevated for an extended period, which will dampen M&A activity.
On the regulatory front, the relatively recent introduction of the National Security and Investment Act requires that a notification be made and clearance obtained from the government before completion of certain deals, giving the government the power to scrutinise transactions for up to five years after completion. The Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States is also increasingly scrutinising certain transactions that relate to overseas investors, which adds to the work required to complete deals. Although the UK government’s intentions were made clear in order to not deter investments, it is still uncertain whether such increased scrutiny and delay will continue to reduce M&A activity in the UK.
M&A Outlook in Subsets of the Tech Sector
Due to continued interest in the adoption of new technologies, technology demand is expected to create M&A opportunities both in software and in infrastructure-enabling technologies such as 5G, the metaverse and associated technologies.
There continues to be increasing investment in ESG-related projects, as sustainability has recently become a key element of corporate strategy and culture. The focus on acquiring environmentally friendly and responsible assets has been brought about by positive returns in ESG-related stocks, private equity firms increasing their ESG efforts for portfolio diversification, and debt providers awarding better prices for participants in environment-related transactions.
Due to capital allocation being made available for M&A, owing to the need for scale, activity in the pharmaceutical and life sciences sector is also expected to continue throughout 2024.
Additionally, according to a recent study conducted by PwC, IT services (particularly in areas such as cybersecurity, DevOps and digital transformation) are experiencing strong growth due to digitalisation and increasing security risks. Cross-border M&A in cybersecurity is notable, with US tech companies seeking targets, particularly in Israel.
AI has gained significant attention as a transformative force, opening doors for productivity enhancements and market expansion. The emergence of AI models such as ChatGPT and GPT4 has showcased potential use cases. This increased prominence of AI is expected to drive future M&A activity across the technology sector.
Software, on the other hand, with its subscription-based models providing steady recurring revenues, continues to attract investors, especially in the current environment. According to PwC, software deals are expected to dominate technology deal making in the second half of 2023, accounting for over 70% of deal volumes.
Despite regulatory challenges, the demand for semiconductors remains strong, driven by their importance in modern technologies. Generative AI is likewise expected to further boost demand. While large cross-border semiconductor deals may face hurdles, investor interest in semiconductor companies for expanding chip-manufacturing capabilities is anticipated.
M&A Outlook in the TMT Industry
PwC’s 2023 study further found that the trend of TMT consolidation is likely to persist, although it may slow down in the latter half of the year as companies prioritise reducing debt to counter higher interest rates. In the first half of 2023, the TMT sector saw a 7% decrease in announced deal volumes, and a substantial 67% drop in deal values compared to the second half of 2022. This decline can be attributed to macroeconomic conditions and the absence of major deals. However, factors such as consolidation among communications service providers (CSPs) are still driving deal activity, as demonstrated by Rogers Communications’ USD15 billion acquisition of Shaw Communications in Canada and Vodafone Group’s sale of a 50% stake in its German joint venture FibreCo to Altice.
The trend of selling digital infrastructure assets, especially cell towers and fibre assets, is, according to PwC’s study, expected to continue in the second half of the year. This sector experienced significant M&A activity in 2022, and this has carried over into the first half of 2023, exemplified by EQT and PSP Investments’ proposed acquisition of Radius Global Infrastructure for around USD3 billion. The demand for digital infrastructure assets remains strong, although the timing of future tower and fibre asset sales may be influenced by higher debt costs and financing availability.
TMT operators are accordingly likely to pursue acquisitions aimed at shifting towards higher-growth revenue streams. These acquisitions will focus on enhancing front-end and back-office infrastructure, with segments such as data analytics, cybersecurity and cloud technology being prime candidates for M&A activity.
M&A Outlook in Media and Entertainment
In the realm of media and entertainment, the global streaming industry is facing growing pressure due to intense competition for subscribers and the high costs of content development or acquisition. Investors are closely examining the sustainability of this business model, leading to potential changes as companies seek to attract new subscribers, explore new revenue sources, and cut costs.
The ongoing strike by the Writers Guild of America (WGA) could have implications not only for US companies but also for international streaming companies, as foreign markets have a strong appetite for US English-language television content. Previous WGA strikes have led to shifts towards non-scripted programming and game shows. However, today’s global production landscape is more mature, and a prolonged US strike could greatly benefit overseas production and streaming companies, potentially replacing some US content with high-quality scripted content produced abroad. The popularity of international titles in the US market suggests a growing interest in foreign programs.
According to industry reports, during the WGA strike, M&A activity is likely to be limited, as investors await the outcome of writers’ demands for better compensation and contractual terms, assessing how these factors might affect the future profitability of streaming platforms. Looking further ahead, the fragmented streaming industry is expected to offer opportunities for consolidation through deal making in the medium to long term.
The live entertainment sector is also attracting interest from investors. The combination of live experiences and advancements in data and technology is driving strategic partnerships and investments in high-profile sports teams. As consumer preferences continue to shift towards experiences, further investments are anticipated in this sector, although the pace might be influenced by economic stability.
Similarly, the video games sector is particularly poised for continued growth in 2023, with an influx of associated M&A deals and opportunities. The demand for interactive content across various platforms remains strong, making it an appealing area for companies looking to enhance their offerings and expand their presence, especially in the emerging metaverse landscape.
Overall, these trends reflect the dynamic nature of the media and entertainment industry, where adaptability and innovation are key drivers of success.
What Next? Will the Same M&A Activity Levels Continue Through 2024?
According to a recent report published by GlobalData, in Q1 2023, the global M&A landscape witnessed a significant downturn, with the total value of M&A deals plummeting by 44% to USD413 billion (down from USD744 billion in Q1 2022). This decline was primarily attributed to concerns about potential global economic slowdown, driven by surging inflation and rising interest rates. These insights come from GlobalData’s recent report titled “Mergers and Acquisitions Deals by Top Themes and Industries in Q1 2023 – Thematic Intelligence”.
The report also highlights a 23% drop in the total count of M&A deals, decreasing from 10,003 in Q1 2022 to 7,738 deals in Q1 2023. Furthermore, the market’s declaration affected the number of mega deals, defined as those exceeding USD1 billion in value. During the quarter, only 79 mega deals were completed, marking a 45% decline compared to the same period in the previous year.
The decline in global M&A activity was evident worldwide, both when compared to the previous year and to within the same quarter, indicating a general sense of caution among investors regarding M&A deals. Considering the subdued state of global M&A in Q1 2023, the outlook for the remainder of the year appears relatively restrained. This is due to the anticipation of higher interest rates and the possibility of mild economic downturns in several crucial markets. Nevertheless, looking ahead to 2024, the M&A market is expected to bounce back as acquisitions continue to play a pivotal role in corporate strategies. That said, given the resilience shown by tech M&A in particular, and despite the general global decline in M&A as a whole, the authors anticipate this trend to continue into the next year.
Conclusions
The TMT sector is highly driven by innovation, and constant advancements in technology (such as 5G, AI and IoT) are creating new opportunities for companies to expand their offerings and market reach. To stay competitive and capitalise on these innovations, businesses often turn to M&A.
The battle for content and distribution rights in the media and entertainment industry is fierce, and streaming services in particular are vying for exclusive content. M&A allows companies to acquire valuable content libraries and production capabilities.
As boundaries between the TMT sector are constantly blurring, companies in this sector are increasingly diversifying their portfolios to offer comprehensive solutions. M&A enables them to quickly access new capabilities and enter adjacent markets. In crowded markets, M&A can be a strategy for gaining market share and reducing competition. Consolidation also helps companies achieve economies of scale and cost efficiencies.
While M&A deals can offer growth opportunities, they also come with challenges and legal implications that need to be carefully managed to ensure long-term benefits in this ever-evolving industry. Regulatory compliance, innovation and strategic integration will be the key determinants of how these M&A activities continue to shape the TMT landscape.
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